Tavares Posted February 12, 2025 at 02:04 PM Share Posted February 12, 2025 at 02:04 PM Tá chegando aquela época gostoda do ano. Torcendo por um super outbreak, ou dois quem sabe rs Probabilidade de tempo severo pro dia 15 de Fevereiro. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted February 27, 2025 at 12:04 AM Share Posted February 27, 2025 at 12:04 AM Janeiro registrou 16 tornados e fevereiro até o momento está com 37 tornados. No geral, esse começo de ano está bem calmo nos EUA, mas isso pode mudar logo na primeira semana de Março. Modelos estão indicando um evento significativo de tempo severo na próxima semana. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted February 27, 2025 at 12:58 PM Share Posted February 27, 2025 at 12:58 PM By 12Z Tuesday, moisture recovery across the western Gulf should be complete with 70F dewpoints forecast near the Gulf Coast by both GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Confidence in the upper-level pattern is increasing as the ECMWF and EC Ensembles have been consistent with an amplified mid-level pattern across the central and southern Plains now for several consecutive runs. In addition, the GFS/GEFS has trended toward the more amplified ECMWF solution. As the confidence in the overall pattern increases, the confidence for a significant severe weather threat has also increased and 30% severe weather probabilities have been added from East Texas to central Mississippi. While specifics will remain uncertain until the event draws closer, the potential for multiple rounds of severe convection including supercells, clusters, and likely an eventual squall line will likely bring a threat for all severe weather hazards including strong tornadoes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 11, 2025 at 12:30 AM Share Posted March 11, 2025 at 12:30 AM Tornado EF2 que afetou regiões perto de Orlando, FL hoje: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 11, 2025 at 12:34 AM Share Posted March 11, 2025 at 12:34 AM O tempo severo previsto para começo de março aos poucos foi perdendo intensidade e acabou sendo um evento bem fraco. Ao todo foram 35 tornados confirmados entre 3 e 5 de março. Modelos estão indicando desde semana passada a chance de outro surto de tempo severo. Risco de tempo severo deve ser na sexta e sábado. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 13, 2025 at 05:38 PM Share Posted March 13, 2025 at 05:38 PM Dois dias com risco moderado 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augusto Göelzer Posted March 14, 2025 at 01:15 PM Share Posted March 14, 2025 at 01:15 PM Que comecem os jogos: 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caio César Posted March 14, 2025 at 01:31 PM Share Posted March 14, 2025 at 01:31 PM Tem chance de uma squall line forte nesse episódio. Quiça um derecho... a ver. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augusto Göelzer Posted March 14, 2025 at 01:48 PM Share Posted March 14, 2025 at 01:48 PM Em 14/03/2025 em 10:31, Caio César disse: Tem chance de uma squall line forte nesse episódio. Quiça um derecho... a ver. Dois dias atrás era mais provável a formação de um derecho, porém, o ambiente previsto e o modo convectivo se alterou. Com as previsões de ontem e hoje, o esperado é um modo semi-discreto. Tornados devem ser fortes. HRRR 12z para hoje: 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted March 14, 2025 at 06:30 PM Author Share Posted March 14, 2025 at 06:30 PM SPC emitiu um aviso de ALTO RISCO pra amanhã. É a terceira vez que o centro tem tamanha confiabilidade de um risco alto com um dia de antecedência 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caio César Posted March 14, 2025 at 08:54 PM Share Posted March 14, 2025 at 08:54 PM Rajada de 79mph em Kansas City a pouco (Ryan Hall). 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 12:47 AM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 12:47 AM URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 36 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 730 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northeast Arkansas Southern Illinois Far Southwest Indiana Western Kentucky Southeast Missouri Northern Mississippi Western Tennessee * Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 730 PM until 300 AM CDT. ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION... * Primary threats include... Several tornadoes and a few intense tornadoes likely Widespread damaging winds and scattered significant gusts to 80 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop across the watch area over the next several hours. Environmental conditions are very favorable for supercells capable of all severe hazards, including very large hail (i.e. greater than 2" in diameter) and strong (EF2+) tornadoes. If storms can remain discrete, potential exists for a few long-track tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles west northwest of Evansville IN to 25 miles southwest of Oxford MS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 12:48 AM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 12:48 AM 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted March 15, 2025 at 01:03 AM Author Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 01:03 AM Tornado confirmado indo em direção a uma cidade do Missouri. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 01:43 AM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 01:43 AM Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 01:45 AM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 01:45 AM Tornado também confirmado na RM de ST. Louis! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 02:06 AM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 02:06 AM Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 02:06 AM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 02:06 AM FORTE TORNADO PERTO DE ST.LOUIS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 02:19 AM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 02:19 AM Ficando bem agitado: 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 03:02 AM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 03:02 AM Missouri 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 03:03 AM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 03:03 AM TORNADO EMERGENCY ISSUED FOR VAN BRUEN, MO Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 03:05 AM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 03:05 AM Franklin, ARK Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
André PV Posted March 15, 2025 at 04:41 AM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 04:41 AM (edited) Tornado potencialmente intenso indo em direção a Jonesboro, AR. Edited March 15, 2025 at 04:52 AM by André PV 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 04:54 AM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 04:54 AM Tornado em andamento perto de Jonesboro. Temos dezenas de tornado warning neste momento ativos. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 04:56 AM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 04:56 AM Jonesboro Jo 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 04:58 AM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 04:58 AM Em 15/03/2025 em 00:03, Felipe F disse: TORNADO EMERGENCY ISSUED FOR VAN BRUEN, MO Era realmente um grande tornado. Sem informação da região. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:00 AM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:00 AM Tornado indo para Tupelo, Arkansas 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:02 AM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:02 AM Tornado no Mississippi 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:11 AM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:11 AM Tornado no Mississippi 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 03:49 PM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 03:49 PM (edited) Pelo menos uns 25 tornados reportados ontem, com alguns bem significativos. No Arkansas houve grandes danos nas partes ao norte do estado, com danos EF2+ e 3 mortes. No Missouri se confirma 10 mortes com danos significativos em diversas cidades. Houve danos por tornados significativos também no Mississipi, Illinois e Indiana. Norte do Arkansas: Edited March 15, 2025 at 04:02 PM by Felipe F 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 03:52 PM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 03:52 PM BAKERSFIELD, MISSOURI: https://www.facebook.com/100002003183735/posts/9235701859839828/?mibextid=wwXIfr&rdid=39N1jRaSCJAcYB2l# 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 03:57 PM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 03:57 PM Hoje um grande surto de tornados é esperado, com potencial de vários tornados intensos. Um alto risco está em vigor principalmente para Mississippi e Alabama, O primeiro PDS tornado watch já está em vigor. URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 45 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1030 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Eastern Louisiana Mississippi Coastal Waters * Effective this Saturday morning and evening from 1030 AM until 600 PM CDT. ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION... * Primary threats include... Numerous tornadoes and several intense tornadoes expected Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely SUMMARY...Multiple supercells are expected late this morning through early evening from eastern Louisiana into much of Mississippi. With a very favorable environment in place, numerous tornadoes are expected, including the potential for multiple intense to violent tornadoes (EF3-4+). Scattered large hail up to 1.5-2.5 inches in diameter and damaging winds of 60-75 mph will also be a threat as these thunderstorms move northeastward. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles south southwest of Mc Comb MS to 35 miles northeast of Oxford MS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
André PV Posted March 15, 2025 at 04:16 PM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 04:16 PM 95/95 para tornados nesse PDS. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
André PV Posted March 15, 2025 at 04:25 PM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 04:25 PM Outro PDS para o Alabama vai ser emitido em breve. Qualquer célula que se desenvolver de forma isolada nessa região pode vir produzir um tornado violento. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:29 PM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:29 PM Tornado confirmado na fronteira LA/MS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:30 PM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:30 PM 95% para tornados fortes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:36 PM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:36 PM Tornado perto de Tupelo, MS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:37 PM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:37 PM Tornado ainda em andamento na fronteira LA/MS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:39 PM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:39 PM Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:45 PM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:45 PM Outra célula no MS perto de Jackson Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:46 PM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:46 PM Tylertown, MS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:50 PM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:50 PM Bassfield, MS pode ser afetada por tornado forte novamente. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:53 PM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:53 PM Tornados segue forte no sul do MS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:54 PM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:54 PM Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:55 PM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:55 PM Primeiro emergência por tornado do dia Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:55 PM Author Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:55 PM HRRR que tava prevendo um enxame de supercélulas isoladas de madrugada, mudou pra um sistema mais linear hoje cedo e está voltando aos poucos com as tempestades semidiscretas mas nada como o fim do mundo de 2011. Aguardando a 16Z 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:58 PM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:58 PM Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:58 PM Author Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 05:58 PM Segundo TDS nessa célula. Vai seguir umas dezenas de km. Infelizmente sem cidades grandes no caminho rs 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 06:05 PM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 06:05 PM A outra célula logo atrás começando os trabalhos também: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 15, 2025 at 06:25 PM Share Posted March 15, 2025 at 06:25 PM Passando perto de Bassfield, MS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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