Miguel Russe Posted August 4, 2020 at 04:12 AM Share Posted August 4, 2020 at 04:12 AM 3 minutos atrás, Felipe F disse: Um incêndio está sendo registrado em Ocean Isle Beach. Xiiiiii Chegou a noticia que não devia e terminou com o meu dia (pq vou dormir) Nossa... Primeira vez que eu vejo um furacão tacar incendio em algum lugar 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted August 4, 2020 at 04:15 AM Share Posted August 4, 2020 at 04:15 AM Um dos furacões mais feios que já vi. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 4, 2020 at 04:40 AM Share Posted August 4, 2020 at 04:40 AM 27 minutos atrás, Felipe F disse: Um dos furacões mais feios que já vi. Ultrapassaria o questionável Furacão Barry? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Samihr Hermes Posted August 4, 2020 at 12:35 PM Share Posted August 4, 2020 at 12:35 PM https://www.fox61.com/article/weather/severe-weather/tornado-touches-down-in-northern-litchfield-county-canaan-fallsvillage-norfolk-salisbury/520-54998223-47c6-485a-8012-f9f883133471 Lá na minhas quebrada 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lourenco Posted August 5, 2020 at 01:28 AM Share Posted August 5, 2020 at 01:28 AM Qual a força dos ventos q atingiram New York com o Hurricane Isaias ???? A CNN diz q teve rajadas de 70 mph no JFK airport e que seria um record. https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/04/weather/skyscrapers-wind-isaias/index.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 5, 2020 at 03:42 AM Share Posted August 5, 2020 at 03:42 AM 2 horas atrás, Lourenco disse: Qual a força dos ventos q atingiram New York com o Hurricane Isaias ???? A CNN diz q teve rajadas de 70 mph no JFK airport e que seria um record. https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/04/weather/skyscrapers-wind-isaias/index.html The largest hurricane ever recorded in the Atlantic Basin, wind gusts topped 100 mph (160 km/h) in some parts of the New York metropolitan area. Sandy caused a record 14.41 feet (4.39 m) storm surge at Battery Park, New York City, flooding various parts of Lower Manhattan including various tunnels and subway systems, making them inoperable for weeks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lourenco Posted August 5, 2020 at 04:34 PM Share Posted August 5, 2020 at 04:34 PM (edited) Atlântico parece calmo agora, mas a temporada ainda promete, a Colorado State University aumentou suas previsões. Edited August 5, 2020 at 04:34 PM by Lourenco 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lourenco Posted August 5, 2020 at 04:37 PM Share Posted August 5, 2020 at 04:37 PM 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 6, 2020 at 12:29 AM Share Posted August 6, 2020 at 12:29 AM GFS prevendo um forte furacão sobre o mar do caribe e golfo do mexico para os prox 20 DIAS!!!!!! Se o ATL teve 6 sistemas em julho, vai ter 1 sistema e so no fim de Agosto?! aqui está a previsão e perdões pela minha loucura haha 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 6, 2020 at 12:33 AM Share Posted August 6, 2020 at 12:33 AM Xiiiiii...... 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edsr97 Posted August 6, 2020 at 03:34 PM Share Posted August 6, 2020 at 03:34 PM 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rodolfo Alves Posted August 6, 2020 at 04:18 PM Author Share Posted August 6, 2020 at 04:18 PM LEMBRANDO QUE A LISTA DO ATLÂNTICO TEM 21 NOMES E O NOAA PREVÊ DE 19-25 SISTEMAS. PODEMOS PELA 2ª VEZ NA HISTÓRIA ESGOTAR TODOS OS NOMES E USAR O ALFABETO GREGO 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Samihr Hermes Posted August 6, 2020 at 04:22 PM Share Posted August 6, 2020 at 04:22 PM Eu não sei se é culpa da Isaias, mas em Connecticut teve uma tempestade fortíssima. Muitos estão sem energia e a previsão de reestabelecimento da mesma é de semanas. Minha família já está sem energia em casa faz 5 dias. Uma árvore caiu em cima da casa do nosso vizinho (ninguém machucado) e no nosso driveway caíram várias árvores. VID-20200804-WA0054.mp4 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 6, 2020 at 04:36 PM Share Posted August 6, 2020 at 04:36 PM 18 minutos atrás, Rodolfo Alves disse: LEMBRANDO QUE A LISTA DO ATLÂNTICO TEM 21 NOMES E O NOAA PREVÊ DE 19-25 SISTEMAS. PODEMOS PELA 2ª VEZ NA HISTÓRIA ESGOTAR TODOS OS NOMES E USAR O ALFABETO GREGO Histórico! _Extremely_active'_hurricane_season_possible_for_Atlantic_Basin_|_National_Oceanic_and_Atmospheric_Administration.67d71973345b5b7b6322fc2a31631a1b 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Samihr Hermes Posted August 7, 2020 at 04:13 AM Share Posted August 7, 2020 at 04:13 AM https://dailyvoice.com/connecticut/litchfield/news/isaias-new-power-outage-update-these-litchfield-county-communities-are-most-affected/792032/ Sobre o evento em Connecticut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 7, 2020 at 03:38 PM Share Posted August 7, 2020 at 03:38 PM Uma Tropical Wave está no ATL. NHC não espera nenhum desenvolvimento do sistema devido as condições ruins. Talvez o sistema possa virar *no máximo* uma fraca TD 11. ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Aug 7 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A tropical wave is located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Slow development of this system is possible during the next couple of days as it moves slowly westward. After that time, environmental conditions are expected to become less conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 8, 2020 at 06:04 PM Share Posted August 8, 2020 at 06:04 PM Uma tropical wave deve se formar e virar TS Elida. ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Aug 8 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the low pressure system located more than 200 miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, has become better defined since yesterday. Thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward, remaining well offshore the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 9, 2020 at 12:35 AM Share Posted August 9, 2020 at 12:35 AM NHC avisa que poderá iniciar os avisos para TD 09E. Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Aug 8 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. Recent satellite-derived wind data and satellite images indicate that a tropical depression appears to be forming a couple of hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. If this development trend continues, advisories will be initiated this evening or tonight. This system is expected to move west-northwestward over the next few days, remaining well offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 9, 2020 at 02:56 AM Share Posted August 9, 2020 at 02:56 AM TD 09E se forma. O NHC prevê que se torne furacão Elida, sendo o segundo furacão da trmporada. 305 WTPZ34 KNHC 090236 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Nine-E Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092020 1000 PM CDT Sat Aug 08 2020 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS TO THE SOUTH OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.7N 102.6W ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine-E was located near latitude 14.7 North, longitude 102.6 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of the system will remain well offshore of the coast of Mexico for the next several days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and the cyclone is likely to become a tropical storm on Sunday and a hurricane by late Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 9, 2020 at 03:39 AM Share Posted August 9, 2020 at 03:39 AM Olhando esses modelos, ja e dado como ("meio-certo") a ida de 09E para o status de furacão. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 9, 2020 at 03:32 PM Share Posted August 9, 2020 at 03:32 PM NHC prevendo rapida intensificação para Elida FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/1500Z 16.4N 105.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 10/0000Z 17.3N 107.4W 55 KT 65 MPH 24H 10/1200Z 18.4N 109.9W 65 KT 75 MPH 36H 11/0000Z 19.3N 112.6W 80 KT 90 MPH 48H 11/1200Z 20.0N 115.2W 85 KT 100 MPH 60H 12/0000Z 20.7N 117.8W 80 KT 90 MPH 72H 12/1200Z 21.2N 120.1W 70 KT 80 MPH 96H 13/1200Z 21.5N 124.0W 50 KT 60 MPH 120H 14/1200Z 21.0N 127.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 9, 2020 at 05:44 PM Share Posted August 9, 2020 at 05:44 PM NHC sobe para 40% as chances de um sistema associado a uma onda trooical virar alguma coisa dentro de 48H. ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Aug 9 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continue to show signs of organization. However, satellite-derived wind data from earlier this morning indicated that the circulation remains elongated. Environmental conditions appear conducive enough to support additional development of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the next few days while it moves generally westward at 15 mph across the tropical Atlantic. Conditions are likely to become less conducive for development late this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 10, 2020 at 07:26 PM Share Posted August 10, 2020 at 07:26 PM Elida virou furacão. Citar ep092020 ELIDA 20200810 1915 19.42 -110.57 E HU 65.94 990.0 13.72 294.47 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 10, 2020 at 09:25 PM Share Posted August 10, 2020 at 09:25 PM Elida 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edsr97 Posted August 11, 2020 at 11:51 AM Share Posted August 11, 2020 at 11:51 AM 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 11, 2020 at 01:05 PM Share Posted August 11, 2020 at 01:05 PM Josephine? ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Aug 11 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. First-light visible satellite imagery shows that a better-defined center of circulation is forming in association with a low pressure system located about 900 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. In addition, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has become more organized since yesterday. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for additional development, and advisories could be initiated on a tropical depression as early as later today if these development trends continue. The disturbance is forecast to move west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the tropical Atlantic during the next few days, and conditions are expected to become less conducive for development by the end of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 11, 2020 at 02:44 PM Share Posted August 11, 2020 at 02:44 PM Elida fortalece a categoria 2. 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 111439 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Hurricane Elida Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092020 900 AM MDT Tue Aug 11 2020 ...ELIDA STRENGTHENS TO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE... ...EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN STARTING TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.3N 113.8W ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 11, 2020 at 08:50 PM Share Posted August 11, 2020 at 08:50 PM TD 11L se forma no ATL. Deve virar TS Josephine e batero recorde de 10ª tempestade nomeada que mais cedo se formou na história do Atlantico, batendo o recorde da TS Jose em 2005. 000 WTNT31 KNHC 112032 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Eleven Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020 500 PM AST Tue Aug 11 2020 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.7N 40.0W ABOUT 1110 MI...1790 KM WSW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 1450 MI...2335 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eleven was located near latitude 11.7 North, longitude 40.0 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Wednesday. A west-northwestward motion at a similar forward speed is forecast to begin Wednesday night and continue through the rest of the week. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm by Wednesday night. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 12, 2020 at 12:59 PM Share Posted August 12, 2020 at 12:59 PM Movimento no Pacifico. Proximos Nomes no Pacifico Central: Hone e Iona Proximos Nomes no Pacifico Oeste: Fausto, Genevieve, Hernan e Iselle. ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Aug 12 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Elida, located about 500 miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. An elongated area of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California continues to produce a broad area of cloudiness and disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while the system moves slowly west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. 2. A large area of disturbed weather associated with a trough of low pressure extends from just west of the Gulf of Tehuantepec southwestward for several hundred miles. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days before the system reaches cooler waters over the weekend. This system is forecast to move west-northwestward at about 15 mph away from the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. 3. Another area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days over the far eastern portion of the basin to the south of the coast of Central America. Conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form this weekend or early next week while it moves generally west-northwestward just offshore the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. 4. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form near or west of the border between the National Hurricane Center and Central Pacific Hurricane Center areas of responsibility. Some subsequent gradual development of this system is possible later this week while the system moves slowly westward in the central Pacific basin. Future information on this system will be included in Tropical Weather Outlooks issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. The Central Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook is issued under WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP, and is available on the web at www.nhc.noaa.gov/?cpac 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edsr97 Posted August 13, 2020 at 12:48 PM Share Posted August 13, 2020 at 12:48 PM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lourenco Posted August 13, 2020 at 02:50 PM Share Posted August 13, 2020 at 02:50 PM 2 horas atrás, edsr97 disse: Muito quente !!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edsr97 Posted August 13, 2020 at 02:57 PM Share Posted August 13, 2020 at 02:57 PM 2005, 2005...... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted August 13, 2020 at 03:58 PM Share Posted August 13, 2020 at 03:58 PM Aí eu me pergunto: "Se s temporada de 2020 tiver mais tempestades nomeadas que a de 2005 mas tudo nesse nível de TS e H1, vai ser chamada de "a temporada mais ativa do Atlântico Norte"? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mario junior Posted August 13, 2020 at 04:35 PM Share Posted August 13, 2020 at 04:35 PM 33 minutos atrás, Tavares disse: Aí eu me pergunto: "Se s temporada de 2020 tiver mais tempestades nomeadas que a de 2005 mas tudo nesse nível de TS e H1, vai ser chamada de "a temporada mais ativa do Atlântico Norte"? Será a mais ativa em quantidades de Nomes usados, mas inativa em ACE e quantidade de furacões e grandes furacões. Como em 2014, foi inativa em termos de nomes usados, mas ativa em ACE devido a quantidade media de furacões. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 13, 2020 at 05:51 PM Share Posted August 13, 2020 at 05:51 PM 1 hora atrás, mario junior disse: Como em 2014, foi inativa em termos de nomes usados, mas ativa em ACE devido a quantidade media de furacões. The 2014 Atlantic hurricane season was a below average season in terms of named storms, and an average season in terms of both hurricane and major hurricanes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edsr97 Posted August 13, 2020 at 06:39 PM Share Posted August 13, 2020 at 06:39 PM 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lourenco Posted August 13, 2020 at 09:35 PM Share Posted August 13, 2020 at 09:35 PM (edited) Pelo visto o mês de Agosto não devemos ter nenhum grande furacão mesmo ? Mas parece q o ambiente está se tornando mais favorável para desenvolvimento. Vamos aguardar Setembro e Outubro pra ver se confirmam as previsões do NHC e da Colorado State University. Edited August 13, 2020 at 11:32 PM by Lourenco 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 14, 2020 at 02:01 PM Share Posted August 14, 2020 at 02:01 PM Uma area de baixa pressão está um pouco ao norte de Outer Banks, EUA. Pode virar uma SD 11 ou TD 11. Proximo nome é Kyle. Acho q ja é meio-certo o recorde de KATRINA de tempestade com a letra K qie mais cedo se formou ser batido por um ciclone bunda. ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Aug 14 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Josephine, located over the tropical Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands. 1. Shower activity has increased in association with a low pressure area located about 100 miles northeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. Some additional development is possible during the next couple of days, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form during that time as the system moves east-northeastward well to the southeast of New England and to the south of the Canadian Maritime provinces. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 14, 2020 at 03:48 PM Share Posted August 14, 2020 at 03:48 PM Voo de Reconhecimento em Josephine AF301 Mission #1 into JOSEPHINEType: Unknown | Status: En RouteAs of 15:36 UTC Aug 14, 2020: Aircraft Position: 17.85°N 63.18°WBearing: 90° at 343 ktAltitude: 7445 gpmPeak 10-second Wind: 8 kt at 121°Extrapolated Sea-level Pressure: N/A Aircraft Data Time Series (click to enlarge): Raw data file Full Mission In-Storm (click to enlarge): Raw data file Latest 10 Minutes of Obs (click to enlarge): Raw data file Dropsonde Locations and IDs (click to enlarge): 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 14, 2020 at 08:37 PM Share Posted August 14, 2020 at 08:37 PM Eeeeee macarena Special Message from NHC Issued 14 Aug 2020 20:21 UTC NHC will initiate advisories on Tropical Storm Kyle, located over the western Atlantic Ocean, at 5 pm EDT (2100 UTC). 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edsr97 Posted August 14, 2020 at 10:04 PM Share Posted August 14, 2020 at 10:04 PM 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 15, 2020 at 03:48 AM Share Posted August 15, 2020 at 03:48 AM Wow..... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 15, 2020 at 06:05 PM Share Posted August 15, 2020 at 06:05 PM Uma area de baixa pressão está ativa no CPAC. As condições seguem melhorando, o que deve ajudar a formar uma TS Hone. ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 AM HST Sat Aug 15 2020 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: 1. An area of low pressure is located around 550 miles south of Hilo, Hawaii. Shower and thunderstorm activity with the feature has persisted over the past six hours. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development during the next few days and a tropical depression may form later this weekend or early next week as the system moves steadily west at around 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lourenco Posted August 16, 2020 at 12:20 AM Share Posted August 16, 2020 at 12:20 AM O CMC esta mostrando algum movimento no Atlântico e no Golfo. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 16, 2020 at 12:45 AM Share Posted August 16, 2020 at 12:45 AM (edited) Wow...... HWRF-P PREVÊ QUE 95E SEJA NOMEADO GENEVIEVE E SEJA UM CATEGORIA 5!!!!! 160 MPH E 937 MBAR!!!! Edited August 16, 2020 at 12:45 AM by Miguel Russe Me descupem pela loucura hehe 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 16, 2020 at 12:54 AM Share Posted August 16, 2020 at 12:54 AM GFS de acordo que 95E será um grande furacão. 114 mph 953 mbar 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 16, 2020 at 11:45 AM Share Posted August 16, 2020 at 11:45 AM hmmmmm ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Aug 16 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Advisories are also being issued on Tropical Depression Ten-E, located about 1700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system located a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec have continued to become better organized overnight, and it appears that a tropical depression or storm is forming. If these development trends continue, advisories will be issued on this system this morning. The low is expected to move generally west-northwestward, well offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next few days. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 16, 2020 at 01:36 PM Share Posted August 16, 2020 at 01:36 PM Segundo tropical tidbits, 11E será nomeado Fausto em breve. Tropical Storm FAUSTOAs of 12:00 UTC Aug 16, 2020: Location: 20.2°N 119.0°WMaximum Winds: 35 kt Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 mbEnvironmental Pressure: 1009 mbRadius of Circulation: 200 nmRadius of Maximum wind: 30 nm Infrared Satellite Image (click for loop): Advertisement: Official Forecast (click to enlarge): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 16, 2020 at 02:56 PM Share Posted August 16, 2020 at 02:56 PM TD 12E se forma. É prevista pelo NHC e outros demais modelos para virar um forte furacão. 709 WTPZ32 KNHC 161444 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Twelve-E Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP122020 1000 AM CDT Sun Aug 16 2020 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS SOUTH OF THE COAST OF MEXICO... ...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN RAPIDLY ON MONDAY WHILE REMAINING WELL OFFSHORE THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.3N 97.3W ABOUT 425 MI...680 KM SSE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 525 MI...850 KM SE OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twelve-E was located near latitude 11.3 North, longitude 97.3 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h). A west-northwestward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of the depression is forecast to move parallel to but well offshore of the coast of southern Mexico during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected today, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later today or tonight. Rapid strengthening is anticipated on Monday, and the system is forecast to become a hurricane by Monday afternoon or Monday night. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by this system will begin affecting portions of the southern coast of Mexico on Monday and Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Russe Posted August 16, 2020 at 03:02 PM Share Posted August 16, 2020 at 03:02 PM Previsão e discussão do NHC para 12E: 000 WTPZ42 KNHC 161445 TCDEP2 Tropical Depression Twelve-E Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP122020 1000 AM CDT Sun Aug 16 2020 Deep convection associated with the area of low pressure located south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec has increased and become better organized overnight and this morning. In fact, bands of convection can be seen in both visible and infrared satellite imagery around the northwestern portion of the circulation. Dvorak T-numbers from SAB and TAFB are a consensus 2.0, which supports an initial intensity of 30 kt. The depression lies within a very favorable environment for strengthening. These conditions consisting of warm waters and low vertical wind shear are expected to allow for rapid strengthening over the next 48-60 hours. Since the system is still in its organizational stage, intensification is likely to be a little more tempered today, but given these very favorable conditions a period of rapid strengthening is anticipated to begin by Monday and continue into Tuesday. The statistical guidance and dynamical hurricane models are quite bullish on deepening, as are the global models. The SHIPS RI index is showing a 64 percent chance of a 65 kt increase in wind speed over the next 72 hours. Since nearly all of the intensity guidance is calling for a rather rapid increase in strength, this gives relatively high confidence that the system will become a hurricane in a day or two, and likely become a major hurricane within 72 hours. The NHC intensity forecast is a blend of the SHIPS and HFIP correct consensus models. The depression is moving west-northwestward or 285/16 kt. A strong deep layer ridge of high pressure over the western United States should steer the cyclone on a steady west-northwestward heading over the next several days. The guidance suggests that there will be some reduction in forward speed and a turn toward the northwest later in the period as an upper-level low/trough retrogrades westward well west of the Baja California peninsula. For the first advisory package, the dynamical model guidance is tightly clustered and the NHC track lies closest to the HFIP corrected consensus model. Although the tropical cyclone is forecast to remain well offshore of the southern coast of Mexico, large swell generated by the strengthening system are expected to begin affecting portions of the coast of southern Mexico over the next day or so. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 16/1500Z 11.3N 97.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 17/0000Z 11.9N 99.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 17/1200Z 12.9N 102.4W 55 KT 65 MPH 36H 18/0000Z 14.3N 105.1W 75 KT 85 MPH 48H 18/1200Z 15.9N 107.4W 90 KT 105 MPH 60H 19/0000Z 17.5N 109.3W 105 KT 120 MPH 72H 19/1200Z 19.2N 111.0W 105 KT 120 MPH 96H 20/1200Z 21.6N 113.8W 85 KT 100 MPH 120H 21/1200Z 23.8N 117.7W 60 KT 70 MPH 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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