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IgorTFreitas

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Posts posted by IgorTFreitas

  1. 1 minute ago, Sinforiana Miguel Gonzale said:

     

    Olha, eu juro que nunca vi uma invest se organizar tão rápido assim. Deixou Bertha (2020) kilometros atrás.

    Durmo com uma baixa bem desorganizada c/ 10% de chaces de se formar. Acordo com 02L. O que é isso, Deus!?

    
    
     

    #BILL vem esta noite

    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Two was
    located near latitude 35.0 North, longitude 73.7 West. The
    depression is moving toward the northeast near 21 mph (33 km/h), and
    this general motion is expected through Wednesday with increasing 
    forward speed.
    
    Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
    The depression is expected to become a tropical storm by tonight 
    and could continue to strengthen on Tuesday.  The system should 
    begin to weaken by Tuesday night and is expected to dissipate on 
    Wednesday.
    
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
    

    143943_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png.73c762c86ec4a8092857ae6a858942ec.png

    a381eadf-e6d2-420a-83fe-e1f53e182f10.thumb.jpg.ecd56f1e9e79c39ba33a6414e4cfdb7a.jpg

     

     

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  2. 7 minutes ago, Vinicius_Pelisari said:

     vou estar na serra gaucha do dia 18 a 20 de junho, será que poderá ter alguma surpresa?

    Seria muita sorte , algum modelo projeta alguma precipitação invernal? Embora está mega longe para o evento

    A ensemble do ECMWF pega alguma chance, bem baixa

    Gramado-RS: https://meteologix.com/br/forecast/3462284-gramado/ensemble/euro/snow-precipitation-24h

    Canela-RS: https://meteologix.com/br/forecast/3467530-canela/ensemble/euro/snow-precipitation-24h

    São Joaquim-SC: https://meteologix.com/br/forecast/3448828-sao-joaquim/ensemble/euro/snow-precipitation-24h

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  3. De acordo com a última discussão do NHC, é possível a formação de uma depressão tropical hoje ou amanhã

     

    1. Showers and thunderstorms have become better organized overnight in 
    association with a broad area of low pressure located about 500 
    miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.  Environmental 
    conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a 
    tropical depression is likely to form today or tomorrow while it 
    moves slowly to the west well off the coast of Mexico.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. 
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
    

    two_pac_2d0.png.832d3841eb619b2d602f66d58b1954df.png

     

    A tendência é de intensificar e virar uma tempestade tropical, com alguns modelos mais agressivos indicando o status de furacão, vamos acompanhando....

    92E_intensity_latest.png.b90b6795394efed1873026479de68c57.png

    • Like 1
  4. BLANCA vem aí:

    "Any further improvement in the associated thunderstorm 
    activity could result in the issuance of advisories on a tropical 
    depression or a tropical storm later today or tonight."
    

    Avisos para depressão ou tempestade tropical podem começar ainda hoje caso o sistema ganhe um pouquinho mais de força segundo o NHC

    two_pac_2d0.png

    Última imagem de satélite:

     

    474e8869-bd59-4deb-bebb-2d4a175242d0.thumb.jpg.227324f4b3e79c39b7ae774cfa54149b.jpg

     

    • Like 2
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