Jump to content
Brasil Abaixo de Zero

Miguel Russe

Members
  • Posts

    777
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by Miguel Russe

  1. É isso! (Por enquanto).

    A baixa nos açores foi nomeada CLEMENT pelo AEMET.

    O NHC descartou quaisquer chances de desenvolvimento agora devido ao alto wind shear, ar seco e aguas frias.

    Se não for por agora, Kappa virá mais pra frente nesse ultimo mes de 2020, ou daqui uns 10 - 100 anos.

    2020 Atlantic hurricane season:

    Estatísticas sazonais

    Depressões totais 31 (recorde, empatado com 2005 )
    Tempestades totais 30 (recorde)
    Furacões 13
    Grandes furacões
    ( Cat. 3+ )
    6
    Total de fatalidades ≥ 436 no total
    Dano total > $ 41 bilhões (2020 USD )

     

     

    • Confused 1
  2. 2020 marcou sua historia no livro meteorologico.

    Nem no ante-penultimo dia da temporada a atividade não para!

    Muito ciclone para tampouco ACE.

    Era para estar tirando a casquinha dos 270 ACE.

    1658370298_two_atl_5d0(6).png.975eda82c53389010b268aaf2e91ea5c.png

    ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
    
    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 AM EST Sat Nov 28 2020
    
    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
    
    1. A non-tropical low pressure system located about 650 miles southeast 
    of Bermuda is producing a few disorganized showers and thunderstorms 
    to the north and east of the center. Environmental conditions are 
    expected to be only marginally conducive for development during the 
    next day or so as the low moves northeastward before it is absorbed 
    by an approaching frontal system over the north-central Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
    
    2. A non-tropical low pressure system over the far eastern Atlantic is 
    expected to move southward about midway between Portugal and the 
    Azores over the weekend. Environmental conditions are forecast to be 
    marginally conducive for the low to acquire subtropical 
    characteristics early next week while it meanders just to the north 
    of the Canary Islands. Additional information on this system can be 
    found in high seas forecasts issued by Meteo France.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
    • Like 2
  3. Ciclone Gati explode e vai para a cetegoria 3.

    IMD manteve Gati como ciclonic storm.

    Que lentidão IMD.

    MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
    SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (GATI) WARNING NR 003//
    RMKS/
    1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (GATI) WARNING NR 003    
       01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
        ---
       WARNING POSITION:
       220600Z --- NEAR 10.3N 52.5E
         MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
         POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
         POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
       PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
       RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
       RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
       REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N 52.5E
    • Like 2
  4. Em 17/11/2020 em 00:34, Felipe F disse:

    IOTA fazendo landfall neste momento

     

    Imagem

    Iota debochado.

    Com Kappa, ainda temos MUuuuuuita atividade no ATL!....(sem graça!)

    1711129242_two_atl_5d0(5).png.9876c35948763153feebc638a428eeb5.png

    ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
    
    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    100 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020
    
    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
    
    The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on the 
    remnants of Iota, located inland over El Salvador.
    
    1. A broad area of low pressure could form in a day or so over the 
    southwestern Caribbean Sea.  Development, if any, of this system is 
    expected to slow to occur during the next several days while the 
    it moves slowly west-southwestward or westward across the 
    southwestern Caribbean Sea.  Regardless of tropical cyclone 
    formation, areas of heavy rain are possible during the next several 
    days from Nicaragua southward across Central America and into 
    Colombia.  These rains could cause new flooding concerns, especially 
    across previously inundated areas.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
    
    2. A non-tropical area of low pressure could form between the Bahamas 
    and Bermuda by early next week.  The system could gradually develop 
    subtropical characteristics through the middle of next week while it 
    moves northeastward. 
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

     

    • Like 3
  5. TD 21-E se forma no Pacífico.

    000
    WTPZ31 KNHC 172042
    TCPEP1
    
    BULLETIN
    Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Advisory Number   1
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP212020
    300 PM MDT Tue Nov 17 2020
    
    ...LATE-SEASON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF
    THE EASTERN PACIFIC...
    
    
    SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...15.2N 113.3W
    ABOUT 575 MI...925 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

    204410_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png.d92a3143a1c28b9c84061993333080d6.png

    • Like 3
  6. 💧Agora, Vamos ficar de 👀 em 🌀Kappa!

    1680564619_two_atl_5d0(4).png.a8611262555564f3197ffd3337122763.png

    ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
    
    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 PM EST Mon Nov 16 2020
    
    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
    
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
    Iota, located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea near the coast of 
    northeastern Nicaragua.
    
    1. A new area of low pressure could form in a couple of days over the 
    central or southwestern Caribbean Sea.  Environmental conditions 
    are forecast to be conducive for some development, and a tropical 
    depression could form by the end of the week while the system moves 
    slowly westward or west-southwestward across the southwestern 
    Caribbean Sea.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
    • Like 4
  7. Agora, Felipe F disse:

    ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE IOTA MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA... ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC WINDS, FLASH FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...

    Category 4 Hurricane Iota, with sustained winds near 155 mph (250 km/h), made landfall along the northeastern coast of Nicaragua near the town of Haulover, or about 30 miles (45 km) south of Puerto Cabezas, at 1040 PM EST...0340 UTC...this Monday evening.

    Hurricane Iota's landfall location is approximately 15 miles (25 km) south of where Category 4 Hurricane Eta made landfall earlier this month on November 3rd.

     

    Imagem

    Mah, perdeu a graça.

    Jesus proteja a Nicaragua, e mais ainda Honduras.

    Eta atingiu a Nicaragua com ventos de 225 km/h e matou menos de 50 pessoas.

    Depois entrou na Nicaragua ja como TD e matou mais de 150 pessoas.

    Tomara que os danos sejam semelhantes ao de Arthur no inicio da temporada. (112.000 US).

    Digamos que é impossível os danos serem abaixo de 1 bn US, mas torço fique estacionado em 3 o numero de deaths

    • Like 2
    • Sad 1
  8. Downgraded

    000
    WTNT31 KNHC 170234
    TCPAT1
    
    BULLETIN
    Hurricane Iota Advisory Number  15
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL312020
    1000 PM EST Mon Nov 16 2020
    
    ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS IOTA EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL VERY SOON...
    ...CATASTROPHIC WINDS, LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, AND TORRENTIAL
    RAINFALL OCCURRING IN CENTRAL AMERICA...
    
    
    SUMMARY OF 1000 PM EST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...13.6N 83.4W
    ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM S OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA
    ABOUT 100 MI...155 KM S OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...920 MB...27.17 INCHES
    • Like 4
  9. Ate que enfim....

    ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
    
    BULLETIN
    Hurricane Iota Advisory Number  13
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL312020
    1000 AM EST Mon Nov 16 2020
    
    ...IOTA BECOMES A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE...
    ...FORECAST TO BRING CATASTROPHIC WINDS, LIFE-THREATENING STORM
    SURGE, AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL TO CENTRAL AMERICA...
    
    
    SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...13.5N 82.0W
    ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM W OF ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA COLOMBIA
    ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM ESE OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...260 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...917 MB...27.08 INCHES
    
    • Like 5
  10. BULLETIN
    Hurricane Iota Intermediate Advisory Number 12A
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL312020
    700 AM EST Mon Nov 16 2020
    
    ...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS ALMOST IN THE CORE OF IOTA...
    ...IOTA EXPECTED TO BRING CATASTROPHIC WINDS, LIFE-THREATENING
    STORM SURGE, AND EXTREME RAINFALL IMPACTS TO CENTRAL AMERICA...
    
    
    SUMMARY OF 700 AM EST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...13.5N 81.6W
    ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM NW OF ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA COLOMBIA
    ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM SE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...245 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...925 MB...27.32 INCHES
    

    Falta pouco...

    • Like 4
  11. Bom di......

    000
    WTNT61 KNHC 160644
    TCUAT1
    
    Hurricane Iota Tropical Cyclone Update
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL312020
    140 AM EST Mon Nov 16 2020
    
    ...AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS IOTA HAS RAPIDLY 
    STRENGTHENED INTO A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...
    
    Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft data indicate that Iota 
    now has maximum sustained winds of 140 mph (225 km/h) with higher 
    gusts. The minimum pressure measured by the plane was 935 mb (27.61 
    inches). The updated intensity will be reflected in the next 
    advisory which will be issued by 400 AM EST.
    
    SUMMARY OF 140 AM EST...0640 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...13.5N 80.7W
    ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM ENE OF ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA COLOMBIA
    ABOUT 190 MI...310 KM ESE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...225 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...935 MB...27.61 INCHES
    
    • Thanks 1
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Guidelines.