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Miguel Russe

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Posts posted by Miguel Russe

  1. 4 horas atrás, PabloMartins disse:

    Pacifico Central e a partir do 140°W meu anjo, e caso o invest estivesse dentro da área, teria C como sufixo

    Eu sei

    Eu disse isso para dizer que 93E podia cruzar a bacia do Pacífico Leste ao Central!

    Como se fosse assim:

    "No Pacífico Central, temos 93E que está prestes a entrar na bacia"

     

    Mas falando em 93E, Vejam:

    175063996_two_pac_2d0(4).png.bd9fae914bf5b276189e6fd5e35a73ee.png

     

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Depression Three-E Advisory Number   1
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP032020
    500 AM HST Wed Jun 24 2020
    
    ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE OPEN EASTERN PACIFIC...
    
    
    SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...10.2N 132.9W
    ABOUT 1615 MI...2605 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
    ABOUT 1755 MI...2820 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
    
    
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
    
    
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three-E
    was located near latitude 10.2 North, longitude 132.9 West. The
    depression is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h).  A turn 
    toward the northwest is expected tonight and Thursday, with this 
    motion continuing through Friday.
    
    Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the 
    depression is forecast to become a tropical storm late tonight or 
    on Thursday.
    
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
    
    • Like 2
  2. E no Pacífico Leste e Central, temos 3 invest's, sendo uma quarta invest esperada pra se formar.

    No Pacífico Leste, temos 92E, 93E, 94E e a futura 95E.

    No Pacífico Central, temos 93E.

    93E e 94E devem virar Boris e Cristina ou Hone e Boris.

    1886297953_two_pac_2d0(3).png.9bca515659cc1601dc6aec36d90656cd.pngtwo_cpac_2d0.png.fc8f4358829f9d1ec03db94904012cf7.png

     

    ropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    500 AM PDT Wed Jun 24 2020
    
    For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
    
    1. Showers and thunderstorms have become more concentrated overnight 
    near the center of a small area of low pressure located about 1700 
    miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California 
    peninsula.  If this development trend continues, a tropical 
    depression could develop later today or tonight while it moves 
    slowly toward the west or west-northwest.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
    
    2. An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
    southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula 
    continues to produce a wide area of disorganized showers and a few 
    thunderstorms.  Some development of this system is possible during 
    the next day or so while the system moves westward at about 15 mph 
    before it moves over cooler waters.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
    
    3. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles 
    south of the southwestern coast of Mexico are associated with a 
    tropical wave.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be 
    conducive for development, and the system is likely to become a 
    tropical depression within the next few days while it moves 
    west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
    
    4. Another area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the Gulf 
    of Tehuantepec by late this week. Gradual development of this system 
    will be possible over the weekend as it moves west-northwestward 
    parallel to the coast of Mexico.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
    
    • Like 1
  3. No atlântico, acabou a guaraná. Dolly virou DT ontem de madrugada e deve virar um baixo remanecente hoje a tarde ou a noite.1961445130_two_atl_2d0(2).png.370235ed89f81edc80f27381f31867ae.png

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Depression Dolly Advisory Number   8
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL042020
    500 AM AST Wed Jun 24 2020
    
    ...DOLLY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
    ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY...
    
    
    SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...41.7N 59.0W
    ABOUT 450 MI...725 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
    
    • Like 2
    • Haha 1
  4. NHC monitora 4 areas no momento.

    Proximos nomes são: BorisCristinaDouglasElida.

    333693924_two_pac_5d0(5).png.a86dc94b4ced6144f7a2cd546c4c08de.png1938778961_two_pac_2d0(2).png.0129c392d4bdc20b4cd033bc5b73d457.png

     

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1100 AM PDT Tue Jun 23 2020
    
    For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
    
    1. A nearly stationary area of low pressure is located about 1600 
    miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California 
    peninsula. Although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity 
    has decreased since yesterday, environmental conditions 
    are forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and this 
    system is likely to become a tropical depression during the 
    next few days while it moves slowly westward.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
    
    2. An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
    southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula 
    is producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness and 
    thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be 
    conducive for some gradual development over the next couple of 
    days, but the disturbance is forecast to move over cooler 
    waters after that time which should inhibit further development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
    
    3. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles 
    south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are associated with a 
    tropical wave.  Environmental conditions appear favorable for 
    development, and the system is likely to become a tropical 
    depression in a few days while it moves west-northwestward 
    parallel to the coast of Mexico.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
    
    4. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the 
    Gulf of Tehuantepec by late this week. Environmental conditions are 
    expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system 
    over the weekend as it moves west-northwestward parallel to the 
    coast of Mexico.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
    • Like 4
  5. 164112_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png.a8a7bc640567bf92dac85c1e02a3d07d.png

    13 minutos atrás, Tavares disse:

     

    Pronto! Tá aí a sua Dolly.

    =======================================================================

    
    000
    WTNT64 KNHC 231613
    TCUAT4
    
    Tropical Storm Dolly Tropical Cyclone Update
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL042020
    1215 PM AST Tue Jun 23 2020
    
    ...DOLLY FORMS OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC...
    
    Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that Subtropical 
    Depression Four has strengthened, and maximum sustained winds are 
    now 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.  In addition, the wind 
    field has contracted, and the system has made a transition to a 
    tropical storm.
    
    A Special Advisory on Tropical Storm Dolly will be issued by 100 PM 
    AST (1700 UTC) to update the intensity forecast.
    
    
    SUMMARY OF 1215 PM AST...1615 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...39.4N 61.9W
    ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM SSE OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
    ABOUT 660 MI...1065 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
    
    $$
    Forecaster Berg/Brown
    

    Valeu✌

    Estão servidos?

    • Like 1
  6. 1 hora atrás, victorgomes334 disse:

    Rio Turbio, Santa Cruz, Argentina

    5d44ee6f2c3f71b73125876103c8f6c4b8dabea2777e0b3218c99a717bce3db7.jpg

    5d44ee6f2c3f71b73125876103c8f6c48e87e90280f4603d76cf75f86763e7d7.jpg

    5d44ee6f2c3f71b73125876103c8f6c47c2f2a870c27615a4da067f6fc9a077e.jpg

     

     

    Próximos 8 dias serão frios lá :

     

     

    2020_06_22_23.31.56.jpg

    E mto azar eu estar morar onde nunca caiu um unico floco de neve na historia....

    Mas enfim, acho demais maxima de -2°C e minima -14°C ja no começo de tudo, se de um jeito ou de outro e muuito raro eu ver isso em menos de 20 days depois do começo do inverno na América do Sul. Alguem pode me dizer pq ja tem -14°C tampouco tempo? se for aquelas cidades laaaa onde fica bem no sul da America, ja entendo e concordo com a previsão.

    • Like 4
  7. Alguem sabe se o BAZ antigo esta ativo?

    Estava dando uma fuçada la no fundo do topico e vi um link q leva ate la, mas não esta mais disponivel.

    Se alguem souber como ir la, por favor dizer p mim, pois estou curioso p saber o que tem la.

    Att

    • Like 1
  8. E enquanto isso no pacifico leste, O NHC deixa um belo movimento de Invest's

    Tres com media chance e 1 com uma baixa chance.

    2103778016_two_pac_2d0(1).png.1bfffda3fbadebff517f635eb0fd92e2.png1287972648_two_pac_5d0(4).png.96afe6c4168b37ce628ea051a5da82ed.png

     

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1100 AM PDT Mon Jun 22 2020
    
    For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
    
    1. An area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest 
    of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to 
    produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
    conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, 
    and this system could become a tropical depression during the next 
    few days while it moves generally westward.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
    
    2. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low 
    pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern tip 
    of the Baja California peninsula, have changed little in 
    organization since yesterday.  Environmental conditions are 
    forecast to be conducive for gradual additional development, and a 
    tropical depression could form during the next two to three days 
    while the disturbance moves westward.  After that time, cooler 
    waters are likely to inhibit further development. 
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
    
    3. An area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the 
    coast of Mexico in a couple of days.  Development is expected to 
    occur after that time, and the system could become a tropical 
    depression by late this week as the disturbance moves 
    west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
    
    4. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the 
    Gulf of Tehuantepec by late this week. Environmental conditions are 
    expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system 
    over the weekend as it moves west-northwestward parallel to the 
    coast of Mexico.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
    • Like 2
  9. Bem, mudando de assunto, 94L deve virar SD 04L ou SS Dolly amanhã de manha ou hj a noite.1930384472_two_atl_2d0(1).png.c7f9ad152c8c78fde0b439953e1d37a8.png

     

    Special Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    405 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2020
    
    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
    
    Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the development 
    of a Subtropical Depression over the northwestern Atlantic.
    
    1. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a well-defined low 
    pressure system located about 350 miles southeast of Cape Cod, 
    Massachusetts, has continued to get better organized today, and a 
    subtropical depression appears to be forming.  If these trends 
    continue, advisories will be initiated on this system at 500 PM AST 
    this afternoon. This system is expected to move eastward and 
    northeastward away from the United States during the next couple of 
    days. 
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
    
    • Like 3
  10. 1 hora atrás, Felipe F disse:

    Um ciclone para ser aposentando precisa matar centenas ou milhares de pessoas ou causar danos bilionários.

    Não existe nenhuma chance de ambos serem aposentados.

    Vixi, e msm. Esqueci disso!

    E eu que achei q Dorian n seria retirado kkk

    Eu lembrei q a comissão anual da Org. Mundial da meteorologia foi adiada pela Covid.

  11. Invest 92E esta se organizando:

    1638435693_two_pac_5d0(2).png.93095d8d6cf38bf79559bf0fc9086560.png

     

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    500 AM PDT Sun Jun 21 2020
    
    For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
    
    1. A broad area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest 
    of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing 
    disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions 
    could support some slow development of this system during the next 
    few days while the disturbance moves generally westward.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
    
    2. A low pressure system is producing a broad area of showers and 
    thunderstorms several hundred miles south of the southwestern coast 
    of Mexico. Some gradual development of this system is possible 
    through the middle of this week while it moves westward, away from 
    the coast of Mexico.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
    
    3. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the 
    coast of Mexico by the middle of this week. Additional development 
    could then occur as the system moves west-northwestward parallel to 
    the coast of Mexico.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
    
  12. Pacifico movimentado

    1°- Ex- 92E

    2°- 93E

    3°- Futura area de investigação

    two_pac_5d0.png.952503257d95e2357796af7e9cdccc62.png

     

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    500 PM PDT Sat Jun 20 2020
    
    For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
    
    1. A broad area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest 
    of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing 
    disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions 
    could support some slow development of this system through early 
    next week while the disturbance moves generally westward.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
    
    2. An area of disturbed weather has developed a few hundred miles south 
    of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Some slow development of this 
    system is possible through early next week as it moves westward, 
    away from the coast of Mexico.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
    
    3. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the 
    coast of Mexico by the middle of next week.  Additional development 
    could then occur as the system moves west-northwestward parallel to 
    the coast of Mexico.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
    

     

    • Confused 1
  13. 25 minutos atrás, Felipe F disse:

    Muito calor em Florianópolis no dia do solstício de "inferno".

    Temperaturas máximas até o momento:

     

    Lagoa da Conceição: 27,9ºC

    Carijos: 28,9ºC

    Sertão do Ribeirão: 29,2ºC

    Santo Antônio Lisboa: 30,5ºC

    INMET: 30,5ºC

    Ressacada: 30,5ºC

    AERO: 31ºC (maior valor desde 1997)

    Itacorubi: 31,1ºC (recorde 2001-2020)

    Açores: 31,4ºC

    UFSC (CCA): 32,1ºC

    Nossa. Deve ter uma massa de calor em Floripa, né?

    Aqui perto de casa uma estação de 2 km de distância (estação da praça) reportou 34,7°C

    Esta dificil esse Junho

    • Like 1
    • Haha 1
    • Sad 3
  14. YAY! -1,5???

    Meu Deus! Nem começou o inverno e já temos temperatura negativa?!

    Ei, Climatempo! Olha só isso antes de falar que nosso inverno vai ser quentão!

    Todos bem agasalhados! Se for o q estou pensando, haja chocolate quente!

    19 minutos atrás, Gabriel Cardoso disse:

    Bom dia,

    Uma das poucas geadas esse mês no charco, hoje -1,5°C:

     

    • Like 2
    • Haha 2
    • Confused 2
  15. Começamos bem o Inverno, com temperatura beem fresquinha no Sul e Sul do Sudeste

    Temperatura das capitais do Sul e Sudeste ás 10:05 da manhã no horário de Brasilia.

    ======================================================================

     

    SUL:                                                                                                                  

    Porto Alegre:21°C

    Florianópolis: 26°C

    Curitiba: 18°C

     

    SUDESTE:

    São Paulo: 19°C

    Belo Horizonte: 19°C

    Rio de Janeiro: 23°C                                                      

     

    CAPITAIS MAIS FRIAS:

    1°- Curitiba: 18°C

    2°-São Paulo: 19°C

    3°-Belo Horizonte: 19°C.                                                          Fonte: Windyty

    ======================================================================

    • Like 7
  16. Olá Bazianos! Sou Miguel Russe e vim fazer minha apresentação.

    Já estou aqui ha mais ou menos 4 meses. Mas eu ja observo essa comunidade ha 1 ano, quando eu tinha pesquisado temperaturas negativas de 2019 e vi essa pagina no meio dos resultados. Me interessei e fui ver o que era e descobri que era uma comunidade de meteorologia. Achei interessante, pois eu ja acompanhava a meteorologia ha um bom tempo. Aí fui acompanhando frequentemente o topico e em feveiro de 2020 (esse ano) eu criei minha conta aqui no BAZ. Eu nasci em Sud Mennucci, beem no interior do estado. Gosto de medicina, meteorologia e esporte.

    Colaborarei o possível com o BAZ.

    Grandes Abraços!

     

    • Like 4
    • Thanks 1
  17. 4 horas atrás, Tavares disse:

    Se começarem a retirar nomes de tempestades como Cristobal em 30 anos o Atlântico vai ter furacões com nomes tipo Walklédissom e Francislayne

    Heheh vai ter só nome brazuca

    Acho que para Cristobal não tem necessidade de colocar outro nome diferente com a letra C. É simples: é só subtituir Cristobal para Cris, mas o nome ficará com o mesmo pronunciamento de Chris. Por mim, tanto faz se Cris terá a mesma pronúncia que Chris. Apenas ficará sem o H.

    Para Amanda, digo o mesmo. Eu falo nesses 3 nomes no caso de Amanda ser retirado Mas: 2 serão um pouco ou muito diferentes. Vejam:

    Alanda, Aaron e Alicia. 

    Simples! 

    • Confused 2
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