mario junior

Próximo nome é Marie.

Esperado para ser ao menos um furacão da categoria 2.

4 horas atrás, Felipe F disse:

Caribe vai entrar em ação.

 

E previsto pra ser forte ou fraco?

Poxa...

Re-poxa...

Re-contra-poxa...

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. The remnants of Paulette, located about 100 miles south of the 
Azores, are producing a few disorganized showers. Upper-level winds 
are expected to increase later today and no further development is 
anticipated.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Forecaster Zelinsky

Olhando a hora aqui, já são 12:59 da tarde. Ou seja:

BOLÃO ENCERRADO.

Estou na torcida para eu ganhar! rs

😊 😊 😊

97W próximo de ser 14W.

Esperado para ser um forte tufão.

TCFA JTWC

WTPN21 PGTW 260900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 97W)//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
210 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 18.3N 159.7E TO 25.1N 155.8E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 260600Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 19.2N 159.7E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 18.9N 160.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 159.7E, APPROXIMATELY 
391 NM WEST OF WAKE ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
DEPICTS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH PERSISTENT 
CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SEMICIRCLES. A 260742Z SSMIS 
91GHZ IMAGE REVEALS FORMATIVE BANDING IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT 
WRAPPING INTO THE EASTERN QUADRANT OF THE LLC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS 
REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH A POINT SOURCE OVER 
THE SYSTEM CENTER ENHANCING UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE OFFSET BY AN 
UPPER LEVEL LOW HINDERING CONVECTION OVER THE NORTHWESTERN 
SEMICIRCLE. INVEST 97W IS EXPERIENCING LOW (<15KTS) VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR AND WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE 
IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 97W WILL TRACK GENERALLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD 
WHILE CONTINUING TO SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE; HOWEVER, THE UPPER LEVEL LOW 
MAY HINDER CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 
270900Z.//
NNNN

JMA forecast

TD
Issued at 13:05 UTC, 26 September 2020

<Analysis at 12 UTC, 26 September>
Scale	-
Intensity	-
	TD
Center position	N18°50' (18.8°)
	E160°00' (160.0°)
Direction and speed of movement	NNW Slow
Central pressure	1006 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center	15 m/s (30 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed	23 m/s (45 kt)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 27 September>
Intensity	-
Center position of probability circle	N23°05' (23.1°)
	E156°55' (156.9°)
Direction and speed of movement	NNW 25 km/h (13 kt)
Central pressure	990 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center	23 m/s (45 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed	35 m/s (65 kt)
Radius of probability circle	150 km (80 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 28 September>
Intensity	-
Center position of probability circle	N27°20' (27.3°)
	E152°40' (152.7°)
Direction and speed of movement	NW 25 km/h (14 kt)
Central pressure	975 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center	30 m/s (60 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed	45 m/s (85 kt)
Radius of probability circle	165 km (90 NM)
Storm warning area	E 280 km (150 NM)
	W 220 km (120 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 29 September>
Intensity	-
Center position of probability circle	N33°50' (33.8°)
	E153°20' (153.3°)
Direction and speed of movement	N 30 km/h (16 kt)
Central pressure	950 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center	40 m/s (80 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed	60 m/s (115 kt)
Radius of probability circle	260 km (140 NM)
Storm warning area	E 460 km (250 NM)
	W 360 km (195 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 30 September>
Intensity	-
	LOW
Center position of probability circle	N41°50' (41.8°)
	E161°50' (161.8°)
Direction and speed of movement	NE 50 km/h (26 kt)
Central pressure	986 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed	25 m/s (50 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed	35 m/s (70 kt)
Radius of probability circle	370 km (200 NM)

Paz....

2 horas atrás, Vinicius Lucyrio disse:

 2 - Os palpites devem ser números decimais;

2.1 - Caso a aposta seja um número inteiro, será considerado como no exemplo: 36 -> 36,0

9 minutos atrás, EvandroPR disse:

Dúvida , me desculpa não entendi.

 

É assim que preenche?

 

Desculpe a burrice ..

 

Preenchi.

Olha o ponto que chegamos

Fazer bolão para o CALOR!! rsrs

Coloquei mais 40 graus para Sud Mennucci. Morei lá mais de 10 anos, e conheço o forno q é la!

STS Dolphin se formou perto do JPN.

Teve pico de 65 mph pela JTWC e 70 mph pela JMA. 

Já é extratropical.

STS Dolphin:

Esperando um categoria 5 esse ano:

#conservadorismo #Haishen #Laura #Amphan #Harold #JTWC #NHC #categoria4 #categoria5 

2 minutos atrás, Felipe F disse:

Sim.

O sistema não tem apoio dos modelos e do NHC para uma regeneração.

 

An area of showers and thunderstorms located over the Central
Bahamas, the Florida Keys and the Straits of Florida is associated
with a frontal system. This disturbance is forecast to continue
moving southward over central and western Cuba during the next
couple of days, and then move back northward on Thursday through
Saturday. Marginally conducive environmental conditions are
expected when the system approaches the Florida Keys and South
Florida late this week, and development, if any, should be slow to
occur. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is
possible across the Florida Keys tonight, and over western Cuba
on Tuesday and Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Flando em regeneração, olha quem está de volta:

000
WTNT31 KNHC 220234
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Paulette Advisory Number  40
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL172020
300 AM GMT Tue Sep 22 2020

...PAULETTE REGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL STORM SOUTH OF THE AZORES...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM GMT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.9N 25.3W
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM SSE OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 AM GMT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paulette was
located near latitude 33.9 North, longitude 25.3 West. Paulette is
moving toward the east-northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this 
general motion should continue through Tuesday night. A much slower 
eastward or east-southeastward motion is expected by late Wednesday 
and Wednesday night. 

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected through early Tuesday.  
Gradual weakening should begin by late Tuesday and continue through 
Wednesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM GMT.

$$
Forecaster Brown

Saindo da Extremamente Movimentada temporada de furacões de 2020, Vamos para o pacífico leste, que vem registrando uma pouca movimentação raríssima: uma LPA vem sendo monitorada pelo NHC para possivel desenvolvimento: Lowell.

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Sep 20 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low 
pressure located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of 
Manzanillo, Mexico, continue to show signs of organization. 
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for additional 
development, and a tropical depression is expected to form 
during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward 
at about 10 mph, away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

4 minutos atrás, Felipe F disse:

Restos de Sally fazendo um passeio pela Flórida.

 

Sobre Sally e Ivan:

Causaram mais de 1 bi de dolares em danos

Fizeram landfall no mesmo local, mesmo dia, mês.

Deram um loop e se renenerou (Sally também?)

Mera coincidência.

NHC emite seu ultimo aviso para a historica TS Alpha próximo a Espanha.

000
WTNT34 KNHC 190235
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Alpha Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL242020
300 AM GMT Sat Sep 19 2020

...SHORT-LIVED ALPHA BECOMES A REMNANT LOW OVER THE DISTRICT OF
VISEU PORTUGAL..
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM GMT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.9N 6.9W
ABOUT 1090 MI...1750 KM ENE OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

Beta surpreende e fortalece a uma forte TS.

000
WTNT32 KNHC 190258
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beta Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL222020
1000 PM CDT Fri Sep 18 2020

...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND BETA STRONGER...
...STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE WATCHES ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE
TEXAS COAST...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.5N 92.3W
ABOUT 305 MI...495 KM E OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM SW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES

Teddy retorna a Categoria 4.

000
WTNT35 KNHC 190257
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Hurricane Teddy Advisory Number  27
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL202020
1100 PM AST Fri Sep 18 2020

...MAJOR HURRICANE TEDDY CONTINUING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL 
ATLANTIC...
...LARGE SWELLS ARE SPREADING ACROSS MUCH OF THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
INCREASING RIP CURRENT THREAT...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.0N 57.4W
ABOUT 730 MI...1170 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...28.00 INCHES

3 minutos atrás, Rodolfo Alves disse:

NHC DESIGNA OFICIALMENTE A TEMPESTADE TROPICAL BETA

 

000
WTNT32 KNHC 182052
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beta Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL222020
400 PM CDT Fri Sep 18 2020

...DEPRESSION IN THE GULF OF MEXICO BECOMES TROPICAL STORM BETA...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.3N 93.1W
ABOUT 335 MI...545 KM ENE OF TAMPICO MEXICO
ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM ESE OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

Alpha faz landfall próximo a Leiria.

2 minutos atrás, Tavares disse:

Acho que não einh.

?

1 minuto atrás, Tavares disse:

Esse terremoto não tem relação com o tremor de M6.5 e suas centenas de réplicas que atingiu a região mais ao sul da Ilha de Creta

Ciclone Ianos e terremoto

Uma combinação catastrófica na Grécia

Vou citar aqui, ja que ninguem citou:

If Alpha makes landfall in Portugal as a subtropical cyclone, it will be the first cyclone to do so in history.

Se Alpha aterrissar em Portugal como um ciclone subtropical, será o primeiro ciclone a fazê-lo na história.

1 minuto atrás, Felipe F disse:

Sistema em Portugal foi nomeado!

 

 

22L será Beta!

Wilfred se forma próximo de Cabo Verde.

Está esgotado o alfabeto latino de 2020.

Alpha deve sair ainda hoje por 22L.

000
WTNT33 KNHC 181433
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Wilfred Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL232020
1100 AM AST Fri Sep 18 2020

...WILFRED FORMS IN THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC...
...GET OUT THE GREEK ALPHABET FOR THE REST OF 2020...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.9N 32.4W
ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM WSW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Wilfred was
located near latitude 11.9 North, longitude 32.4 West. Wilfred is
moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h) and this 
general motion is expected for the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight strengthening is possible today, and weakening should 
start this weekend and continue into next week.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Blake

13 minutos atrás, Tavares disse:

Uma bomba-relógio, será?

Tudo é possivel meu kerido

Agora, mario junior disse:

DT 22 se forma.

000
WTNT32 KNHC 172259
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Twenty-Two Special Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL222020
600 PM CDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
...EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY OVER THE WESTERN GULF INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK...


SUMMARY OF 600 PM CDT...2300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.9N 94.3W
ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM E OF TAMPICO MEXICO
ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM SE OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

Próximo nome é Wilfred, o último nome do alfabeto latino de 2020.