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Felipe F

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Posts posted by Felipe F

    Monitoramento e Previsão - Centro-Sul - Novembro 2013

    in Monitoramento e Previsão - América do Sul

    Posted

    Interessante essa "Santa Tereza" no ES, com média máx de 20,4°C, igualando com Água Doce (obviamente em condições bem diferentes)...

    Mas, vejam:

    650 m de altitude (cidade)

    20,4°C de máx med,

    enqto na fria Riacho Grande:

    + de 700 m (não kis conferir, me corrijam)

    22,8°C de máx med...

    Seria legal saber a altitude da estação (Sta Tereza), mas não deve ir além dos 800/900m!

    O post é antigo, mas dá para ter uma noção de como é a cidade: http://www.skyscrapercity.com/showthread.php?t=343349

    A estação fica a cerca de 1000 m de altitude.

    Tufões no Pacífico Oeste - 2013

    in Monitoramento de Furacões, Tufões e Ciclones Tropicais

    Posted

    Atualmente temos dois invests no Pacífico Oeste, 98W e 99W.

     

    98W

    THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.1N

    137.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.1N 137.0E, APPROXIMATELY 95 NM WEST-

    NORTHWEST OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS

    A BROAD, PARTLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH A

    SLIGHTLY DEEPENED AND MORE ORGANIZED FORMATIVE BANDS MOSTLY ALONG

    THE WESTERN FLANK. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE

    ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW (05-10 KNOT) VERTICAL WINDS SHEAR (VWS) AND

    GOOD WESTWARD OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SSTS) IN THE AREA

    ARE PERENNIALLY WARM (28 TO 30 DEGREES CELSIUS) FOR DEVELOPMENT.

    DYNAMIC MODELS INDICATE THE DEVELOPMENT OF A WEAK TROPICAL CYCLONE

    WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, MORE THAN LIKELY AFTER THE SYSTEM CROSSES

    THE PHILIPPINES AND EXITS INTO THE SOUTH CHINS SEA. MAXIMUM

    SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA

    LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. IN VIEW OF THE

    IMPROVED ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A

    SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO

    MEDIUM.

     

    99W

    THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.4N

    161.7E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.1N 158.6E, APPROXIMATELY 45 NM SOUTH-

    SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI, FSM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY

    REVEALS A BROAD LLCC WITH RAPIDLY CONSOLIDATING FORMATIVE BANDS.

    UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS JUST SOUTH OF A

    SUBTROPICAL HIGH IN AN AREA OF LOW VWS AND EXCELLENT RADIAL OUTFLOW

    WITH A STRONG EQUATORWARD CHANNEL. SSTS IN THE AREA ARE PERENNIALLY

    WARM (28 TO 30 DEGREES CELSIUS) FOR DEVELOPMENT. DYNAMIC MODELS

    INDICATE THE DEVELOPMENT OF A WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN

    THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT

    15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR

    1006 MB. IN VIEW OF THE IMPROVED ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE

    DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24

    HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.

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