Atualmente temos dois invests no Pacífico Oeste, 98W e 99W.
98W
THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.1N
137.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.1N 137.0E, APPROXIMATELY 95 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS
A BROAD, PARTLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH A
SLIGHTLY DEEPENED AND MORE ORGANIZED FORMATIVE BANDS MOSTLY ALONG
THE WESTERN FLANK. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW (05-10 KNOT) VERTICAL WINDS SHEAR (VWS) AND
GOOD WESTWARD OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SSTS) IN THE AREA
ARE PERENNIALLY WARM (28 TO 30 DEGREES CELSIUS) FOR DEVELOPMENT.
DYNAMIC MODELS INDICATE THE DEVELOPMENT OF A WEAK TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, MORE THAN LIKELY AFTER THE SYSTEM CROSSES
THE PHILIPPINES AND EXITS INTO THE SOUTH CHINS SEA. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. IN VIEW OF THE
IMPROVED ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
MEDIUM.
99W
THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.4N
161.7E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.1N 158.6E, APPROXIMATELY 45 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI, FSM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
REVEALS A BROAD LLCC WITH RAPIDLY CONSOLIDATING FORMATIVE BANDS.
UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS JUST SOUTH OF A
SUBTROPICAL HIGH IN AN AREA OF LOW VWS AND EXCELLENT RADIAL OUTFLOW
WITH A STRONG EQUATORWARD CHANNEL. SSTS IN THE AREA ARE PERENNIALLY
WARM (28 TO 30 DEGREES CELSIUS) FOR DEVELOPMENT. DYNAMIC MODELS
INDICATE THE DEVELOPMENT OF A WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
1006 MB. IN VIEW OF THE IMPROVED ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.