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Brasil Abaixo de Zero

Miguel Russe

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Everything posted by Miguel Russe

  1. É isso! (Por enquanto). A baixa nos açores foi nomeada CLEMENT pelo AEMET. O NHC descartou quaisquer chances de desenvolvimento agora devido ao alto wind shear, ar seco e aguas frias. Se não for por agora, Kappa virá mais pra frente nesse ultimo mes de 2020, ou daqui uns 10 - 100 anos. 2020 Atlantic hurricane season: Estatísticas sazonais Depressões totais 31 (recorde, empatado com 2005 ) Tempestades totais 30 (recorde) Furacões 13 Grandes furacões ( Cat. 3+ ) 6 Total de fatalidades ≥ 436 no total Dano total > $ 41 bilhões (2020 USD )
  2. 2020 marcou sua historia no livro meteorologico. Nem no ante-penultimo dia da temporada a atividade não para! Muito ciclone para tampouco ACE. Era para estar tirando a casquinha dos 270 ACE. ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 AM EST Sat Nov 28 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A non-tropical low pressure system located about 650 miles southeast of Bermuda is producing a few disorganized showers and thunderstorms to the north and east of the center. Environmental conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive for development during the next day or so as the low moves northeastward before it is absorbed by an approaching frontal system over the north-central Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. 2. A non-tropical low pressure system over the far eastern Atlantic is expected to move southward about midway between Portugal and the Azores over the weekend. Environmental conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for the low to acquire subtropical characteristics early next week while it meanders just to the north of the Canary Islands. Additional information on this system can be found in high seas forecasts issued by Meteo France. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
  3. Ciclone Gati explode e vai para a cetegoria 3. IMD manteve Gati como ciclonic storm. Que lentidão IMD. MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (GATI) WARNING NR 003// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (GATI) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z --- NEAR 10.3N 52.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N 52.5E
  4. Começou a "South-West Indian Ocean Cyclone Season 2020-21". Já tivemos 2 sistemas tropicais. Aicia e TD 02. Alicia ficou por 18 horas como "Tropical Cyclone" pelo MFR e o mesmo tempo ficou na categoria 1. Alicia é um Ex-Ciclone Tropical agora. Alicia: 02:
  5. Iota debochado. Com Kappa, ainda temos MUuuuuuita atividade no ATL!....(sem graça!) ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 100 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on the remnants of Iota, located inland over El Salvador. 1. A broad area of low pressure could form in a day or so over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Development, if any, of this system is expected to slow to occur during the next several days while the it moves slowly west-southwestward or westward across the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, areas of heavy rain are possible during the next several days from Nicaragua southward across Central America and into Colombia. These rains could cause new flooding concerns, especially across previously inundated areas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. 2. A non-tropical area of low pressure could form between the Bahamas and Bermuda by early next week. The system could gradually develop subtropical characteristics through the middle of next week while it moves northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
  6. TD 21-E se forma no Pacífico. 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 172042 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212020 300 PM MDT Tue Nov 17 2020 ...LATE-SEASON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.2N 113.3W ABOUT 575 MI...925 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
  7. 💧Agora, Vamos ficar de 👀 em 🌀Kappa☔! ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 PM EST Mon Nov 16 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Iota, located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea near the coast of northeastern Nicaragua. 1. A new area of low pressure could form in a couple of days over the central or southwestern Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some development, and a tropical depression could form by the end of the week while the system moves slowly westward or west-southwestward across the southwestern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
  8. Mah, perdeu a graça. Jesus proteja a Nicaragua, e mais ainda Honduras. Eta atingiu a Nicaragua com ventos de 225 km/h e matou menos de 50 pessoas. Depois entrou na Nicaragua ja como TD e matou mais de 150 pessoas. Tomara que os danos sejam semelhantes ao de Arthur no inicio da temporada. (112.000 US). Digamos que é impossível os danos serem abaixo de 1 bn US, mas torço fique estacionado em 3 o numero de deaths
  9. Downgraded 000 WTNT31 KNHC 170234 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Iota Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL312020 1000 PM EST Mon Nov 16 2020 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS IOTA EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL VERY SOON... ...CATASTROPHIC WINDS, LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL OCCURRING IN CENTRAL AMERICA... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM EST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.6N 83.4W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM S OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA ABOUT 100 MI...155 KM S OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...920 MB...27.17 INCHES
  10. Vários. Aqui no link abaixo está uma lista enorme. É só traduzir para um melhor entendimento. Link: "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_South_America_hurricanes"
  11. Tópico para Monitoramento de Tufões no Pacífico Oeste - 2020 ======================================================================================================================== Informações Básicas: Período: Ano Todo (Maior atividade entre Maio e Outubro) Cobertura: Entre 100 Graus Leste a 180 Graus Oeste (Limite da Linha Internacional de Data) Órgão Responsável por Monitorar: Agência Meteorologica do Japão - JMA (Toda Bacia); PAGASA (para as Filipinas), além do JTWC para interesses dos EUA. Sufixo para INVEST: "W" Classificação de Fases: Depressão Tropical (Até 64km/h); Tempestade Tropical (64 a 117km/h) [somente para o JMA - Tempestade Tropical Severa (89 a 117km/h)]; Tufão (118 a 240km/h); [somente para o JTWC - Super Tufão (240km/h ou mais)]. ========================================================================================================================== Nessa bacia, há uma lista rotatória de nomes dados pelos países da região mais os EUA, sem definição por anos. Próximos nomes internacionais para o Pacífico Oeste adotados pelo JTWC: Vongfong Nuri Sinlaku Hagupit Jangmi Mekkhala Higos Bavi Maysak Haishen Noul Dolphin Kujira Chan-hom Linfa Nangka Saudel Molave Goni Atsani Etau Vamco  Krovanh Dujuan Surigae Choi-wan Koguma Champi (MENSAGEM EDITADA PELA ADMINISTRAÇÃO, PARA REALOCAÇÃO DA INTRODUÇÃO DO TÓPICO) ======================================================================================================================== Está aberta a temporada de tufões no pacifico. Ambo se formou ontem a noite e pode virar uma TS amanhã ou outro dia. Não dá p descartar a chance de um tufão, ja que o ciclone esta em codições favoraveis e uma breve intensificação para tufão pode acontecer.
  12. Ate que enfim.... ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Iota Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL312020 1000 AM EST Mon Nov 16 2020 ...IOTA BECOMES A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE... ...FORECAST TO BRING CATASTROPHIC WINDS, LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL TO CENTRAL AMERICA... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.5N 82.0W ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM W OF ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA COLOMBIA ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM ESE OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...260 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...917 MB...27.08 INCHES
  13. oh glória! Os próximos cat 5 são Laura e Eita.
  14. BULLETIN Hurricane Iota Intermediate Advisory Number 12A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL312020 700 AM EST Mon Nov 16 2020 ...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS ALMOST IN THE CORE OF IOTA... ...IOTA EXPECTED TO BRING CATASTROPHIC WINDS, LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, AND EXTREME RAINFALL IMPACTS TO CENTRAL AMERICA... SUMMARY OF 700 AM EST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.5N 81.6W ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM NW OF ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA COLOMBIA ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM SE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...245 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...925 MB...27.32 INCHES Falta pouco...
  15. Bom di...... 000 WTNT61 KNHC 160644 TCUAT1 Hurricane Iota Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL312020 140 AM EST Mon Nov 16 2020 ...AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS IOTA HAS RAPIDLY STRENGTHENED INTO A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE... Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft data indicate that Iota now has maximum sustained winds of 140 mph (225 km/h) with higher gusts. The minimum pressure measured by the plane was 935 mb (27.61 inches). The updated intensity will be reflected in the next advisory which will be issued by 400 AM EST. SUMMARY OF 140 AM EST...0640 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.5N 80.7W ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM ENE OF ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA COLOMBIA ABOUT 190 MI...310 KM ESE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...225 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...935 MB...27.61 INCHES
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