Miguel Russe

Iota debochado. Com Kappa, ainda temos MUuuuuuita atividade no ATL!....(sem graça!) ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 100 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on the remnants of Iota, located inland over El Salvador. 1. A broad area of low pressure could form in a day or so over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Development, if any, of this system is expected to slow to occur during the next several days while the it moves slowly west-southwestward or westward across the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, areas of heavy rain are possible during the next several days from Nicaragua southward across Central America and into Colombia. These rains could cause new flooding concerns, especially across previously inundated areas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. 2. A non-tropical area of low pressure could form between the Bahamas and Bermuda by early next week. The system could gradually develop subtropical characteristics through the middle of next week while it moves northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

TD 21-E se forma no Pacífico. 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 172042 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212020 300 PM MDT Tue Nov 17 2020 ...LATE-SEASON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.2N 113.3W ABOUT 575 MI...925 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

💧Agora, Vamos ficar de 👀 em 🌀Kappa☔! ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 PM EST Mon Nov 16 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Iota, located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea near the coast of northeastern Nicaragua. 1. A new area of low pressure could form in a couple of days over the central or southwestern Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some development, and a tropical depression could form by the end of the week while the system moves slowly westward or west-southwestward across the southwestern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Mah, perdeu a graça. Jesus proteja a Nicaragua, e mais ainda Honduras. Eta atingiu a Nicaragua com ventos de 225 km/h e matou menos de 50 pessoas. Depois entrou na Nicaragua ja como TD e matou mais de 150 pessoas. Tomara que os danos sejam semelhantes ao de Arthur no inicio da temporada. (112.000 US). Digamos que é impossível os danos serem abaixo de 1 bn US, mas torço fique estacionado em 3 o numero de deaths

Downgraded 000 WTNT31 KNHC 170234 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Iota Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL312020 1000 PM EST Mon Nov 16 2020 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS IOTA EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL VERY SOON... ...CATASTROPHIC WINDS, LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL OCCURRING IN CENTRAL AMERICA... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM EST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.6N 83.4W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM S OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA ABOUT 100 MI...155 KM S OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...920 MB...27.17 INCHES

Vários. Aqui no link abaixo está uma lista enorme. É só traduzir para um melhor entendimento. Link: "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_South_America_hurricanes"

Ate que enfim.... ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Iota Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL312020 1000 AM EST Mon Nov 16 2020 ...IOTA BECOMES A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE... ...FORECAST TO BRING CATASTROPHIC WINDS, LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL TO CENTRAL AMERICA... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.5N 82.0W ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM W OF ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA COLOMBIA ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM ESE OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...260 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...917 MB...27.08 INCHES

O olho de Iota ficou bugado.....

oh glória! Os próximos cat 5 são Laura e Eita.

Será agora que vai p categoria 5?

BULLETIN Hurricane Iota Intermediate Advisory Number 12A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL312020 700 AM EST Mon Nov 16 2020 ...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS ALMOST IN THE CORE OF IOTA... ...IOTA EXPECTED TO BRING CATASTROPHIC WINDS, LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, AND EXTREME RAINFALL IMPACTS TO CENTRAL AMERICA... SUMMARY OF 700 AM EST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.5N 81.6W ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM NW OF ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA COLOMBIA ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM SE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...245 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...925 MB...27.32 INCHES Falta pouco...

Bom di...... 000 WTNT61 KNHC 160644 TCUAT1 Hurricane Iota Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL312020 140 AM EST Mon Nov 16 2020 ...AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS IOTA HAS RAPIDLY STRENGTHENED INTO A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE... Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft data indicate that Iota now has maximum sustained winds of 140 mph (225 km/h) with higher gusts. The minimum pressure measured by the plane was 935 mb (27.61 inches). The updated intensity will be reflected in the next advisory which will be issued by 400 AM EST. SUMMARY OF 140 AM EST...0640 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.5N 80.7W ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM ENE OF ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA COLOMBIA ABOUT 190 MI...310 KM ESE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...225 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...935 MB...27.61 INCHES

Vou na casa 4 130 mph e 952 mbar

Estimaria 115 mph e 964 mbar.

Kappo?!

Pena que Eta virou post-tropical cyclone....

HWRF P mostra Alicia como um cat 3 de 120 mph e 968 mbar e Bongoyo com 50 mph e 993 mbar

E o GFS, como de costume vem fazendo rodadas fracas e sem graça, que são ruins de se ver.

Se esta em 162 de ace, precisaria de uma macambira de mucumba para essa temporada pelo menos tirar um pelinho dos 200 de ACE. Na verdade, era para essa temporada estar perto dos 300 de ACE, mas o NHC monitorou tantos bandos de nuvens circulatorias que acabou os nomes do alfabeto latino e agora esta triturando os nomes gregos. No momento, no alfabeto grego, apenas THETA n valeu muito a pena acompanhar, pois foi um ciclone fraco e feio, como falado pelo @Felipe F, ao contrario dos outros furacões "gregos".

Pesado Qui exagero rs 145 kt somente nos quintos da temporada? Va catar coquinhos HMON

Me mostra quais eram as rodadas?

HWRF CAT. 4

TCFA TD1 (92S) WTXS21 PGTW 120930 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 92S)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 4.5S 89.7E TO 6.4S 82.0E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 120600Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 4.7S 89.0E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.3S 88.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.7S 89.0E, APPROXIMATELY 991 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS FLARING DEEP CONVECTION AROUND A PARTIALLY EXPOSED, WELL- DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH ROBUST RADIAL OUTFLOW. A 120720Z AMSR2 GW1 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS FRAGMENTED DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC FROM ALL SIDES. 92S IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH EXCELLENT RADIAL OUTFLOW, LOW (10 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29 TO 30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 92S WILL TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD, INTENSIFYING TO WARNING THRESHOLD IN 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 130930Z.// NNNN

É por ai.....

Furacão Theta? 000 WTNT65 KNHC 101356 TCUAT5 Subtropical Storm Theta Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL302020 155 PM GMT Tue Nov 10 2020 ...THETA STRONGER... Recently received satellite wind data indicate that Theta has strengthened and now has maximum sustained winds of around 70 mph (110 km/h), with higher gusts. This change in intensity will be reflected in the forecast that will be issued with the 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC) advisory. SUMMARY OF 155 PM GMT...1355 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.9N 37.6W ABOUT 875 MI...1410 KM SW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 85 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES