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edsr97

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Posts posted by edsr97

  1. ATUALIZAÇÃO DO INMET AUSTRALIANO 🦘


    "Central and eastern Pacific sea surface temperatures (SSTs) have warmed to El Niño thresholds. Models are indicating a high likelihood of further warming, with SSTs exceeding El Niño thresholds until at least into the beginning of the southern hemisphere summer. Some atmospheric indicators such as the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) have shifted towards El Niño thresholds. However, wind, cloud and broad-scale pressure patterns indicate the Pacific Ocean and atmosphere are not yet consistently reinforcing each other. This suggests the ocean and atmosphere have yet to become fully coupled, as occurs during El Niño events which last for many months."



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    FONTE: http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/
    http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/ocean/outlooks/#region=NINO34


    DISCLAIMER: O BOM TEM SIDO O MODELO MAIS AGRESSIVO NA PREVISÃO DA INTENSIDADE DESTE EL NIÑO. 

    • Like 6
  2. EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO)
    DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION
    issued by
    CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS
     
    8 June 2023
     

    ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Advisory

     

    Synopsis:  El Niño conditions are present and are expected to gradually strengthen into the Northern Hemisphere winter 2023-24.
     

    image.thumb.png.66494f4049f7215e1b0cc02dc718a406.png

     

    https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml


    image.png.51e6cff3e2f847ca5a9c0132fc06a498.png

    https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/enso-alert-readme.shtml

    • Like 7
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