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Rodolfo Alves

Furacões no Atlântico Norte e Pacífico Leste e Central - 2020

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Já tivemos Landfall de algum furacão no litoral norte da América do Sul ?

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9 minutos atrás, Miguel Russe disse:

Vários.

400px-South_American_hurricane_tracks.jpg.6b0f04c9a7c8fd0dcd93c0ee3361d740.jpg

Aqui no link abaixo está uma lista enorme. É só traduzir para um melhor entendimento.

Link: "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_South_America_hurricanes"

 

Só um pouquinho mais ao sul e eles poderiam influenciar o norte do Amapá ou norte de Roraima. Cara, preciso confessar, me dá uma tristeza os ciclones tropicais serem tão raros no Atlântico Sul....

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Iota aproximando do landfall.

Deve fazer landfall entre categoria 4/5 na mesma área do ETA.

 

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IMPRESSIONANTE A RÁPIDA EVOLUCAO.

 

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Voo de reconhecimento aproximando do olho.

 

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1 hora atrás, Felipe F disse:

 

Essa região deveria ter sido esvaziada completamente  como as Filipinas fizeram antes de Goni. Porém olhando o mapa não tem pra onde evacuar essas pessoas. Iota será mais mortal do que Eta nessa região. 

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Dados do voo indicam um ciclone um pouco mais fraco, porém NHC manteve como categoria 5.

A pressão segue praticamente estável (entre 917 e 919 ao longo do dia).

O voo também começou encontrar sinais de um ciclo de substituição da parede do olho.

Creio que NHC deve rebaixar para categoria 4 na próxima atualização com base nos dados do voo.

 

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Downgraded

000
WTNT31 KNHC 170234
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Iota Advisory Number  15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL312020
1000 PM EST Mon Nov 16 2020

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS IOTA EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL VERY SOON...
...CATASTROPHIC WINDS, LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, AND TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL OCCURRING IN CENTRAL AMERICA...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM EST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.6N 83.4W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM S OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA
ABOUT 100 MI...155 KM S OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...920 MB...27.17 INCHES
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Olho rapidamente se deteriorando, porém o sistema segue como um poderoso categoria 4.

Pressão segue na casa dos 920 mbar (storm surge vai ser enorme).

 

 

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Último passagem pelo centro do voo de reconhecimento.

 

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IOTA fazendo landfall neste momento

 

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...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE IOTA MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA... ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC WINDS, FLASH FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...

Category 4 Hurricane Iota, with sustained winds near 155 mph (250 km/h), made landfall along the northeastern coast of Nicaragua near the town of Haulover, or about 30 miles (45 km) south of Puerto Cabezas, at 1040 PM EST...0340 UTC...this Monday evening.

Hurricane Iota's landfall location is approximately 15 miles (25 km) south of where Category 4 Hurricane Eta made landfall earlier this month on November 3rd.

 

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Edited by Felipe F
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Agora, Felipe F disse:

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE IOTA MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA... ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC WINDS, FLASH FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...

Category 4 Hurricane Iota, with sustained winds near 155 mph (250 km/h), made landfall along the northeastern coast of Nicaragua near the town of Haulover, or about 30 miles (45 km) south of Puerto Cabezas, at 1040 PM EST...0340 UTC...this Monday evening.

Hurricane Iota's landfall location is approximately 15 miles (25 km) south of where Category 4 Hurricane Eta made landfall earlier this month on November 3rd.

 

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Mah, perdeu a graça.

Jesus proteja a Nicaragua, e mais ainda Honduras.

Eta atingiu a Nicaragua com ventos de 225 km/h e matou menos de 50 pessoas.

Depois entrou na Nicaragua ja como TD e matou mais de 150 pessoas.

Tomara que os danos sejam semelhantes ao de Arthur no inicio da temporada. (112.000 US).

Digamos que é impossível os danos serem abaixo de 1 bn US, mas torço fique estacionado em 3 o numero de deaths

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💧Agora, Vamos ficar de 👀 em 🌀Kappa!

1680564619_two_atl_5d0(4).png.a8611262555564f3197ffd3337122763.png

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Mon Nov 16 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Iota, located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea near the coast of 
northeastern Nicaragua.

1. A new area of low pressure could form in a couple of days over the 
central or southwestern Caribbean Sea.  Environmental conditions 
are forecast to be conducive for some development, and a tropical 
depression could form by the end of the week while the system moves 
slowly westward or west-southwestward across the southwestern 
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
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Simplesmente aterrador. Infelizmente vai dar muuuuito problema esse furacão. Uma provável crise humanitária nessa região. 

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As ilhas colombianas seguem com a comunicação comprometida.

O presidente informou que a ilha de Providência foi a mais afetada com quase 100% das moradias danificadas.

 

Na Nicarágua sem muitas notícias das regiões mais afetadas também (pode demorar alguns dias para isso acontecer).

Em Puerto Cabezas uma estação reportou ventos sustentados com força de furacão de categoria 1, com rajadas entre 180 a 200 km/h. Algumas fotos mostram casas destelhadas e muitas árvores derrubadas na cidade.

Outras imagens do interior do país também começaram a aparecer, sendo a maior parte delas de inundações.

Não existe quase nenhum dado meteorológico da região, pois ETA destruiu praticamente tudo duas semanas atrás.

 

Landfall IOTA

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IOTA agora é um ciclone de categoria 1.

Deve perder mais força e virar depressão amanhã, pois seu centro vai passar pela parte montanhosa da Nicarágua e ser destruído. 

Chuvas intensas são esperadas, com deslizamentos e inundações sendo o maior risco. 

 

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TD 21-E se forma no Pacífico.

000
WTPZ31 KNHC 172042
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP212020
300 PM MDT Tue Nov 17 2020

...LATE-SEASON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF
THE EASTERN PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 113.3W
ABOUT 575 MI...925 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

204410_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png.d92a3143a1c28b9c84061993333080d6.png

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Ilha de Providência na Colômbia foi DEVASTADA!

 

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Em 17/11/2020 em 00:34, Felipe F disse:

IOTA fazendo landfall neste momento

 

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Iota debochado.

Com Kappa, ainda temos MUuuuuuita atividade no ATL!....(sem graça!)

1711129242_two_atl_5d0(5).png.9876c35948763153feebc638a428eeb5.png

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Wed Nov 18 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on the 
remnants of Iota, located inland over El Salvador.

1. A broad area of low pressure could form in a day or so over the 
southwestern Caribbean Sea.  Development, if any, of this system is 
expected to slow to occur during the next several days while the 
it moves slowly west-southwestward or westward across the 
southwestern Caribbean Sea.  Regardless of tropical cyclone 
formation, areas of heavy rain are possible during the next several 
days from Nicaragua southward across Central America and into 
Colombia.  These rains could cause new flooding concerns, especially 
across previously inundated areas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. A non-tropical area of low pressure could form between the Bahamas 
and Bermuda by early next week.  The system could gradually develop 
subtropical characteristics through the middle of next week while it 
moves northeastward. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

 

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Número de mortos por Iota passou de 20.

Dezenas estão desaparecidos na América Central.

 

 

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2020 marcou sua historia no livro meteorologico.

Nem no ante-penultimo dia da temporada a atividade não para!

Muito ciclone para tampouco ACE.

Era para estar tirando a casquinha dos 270 ACE.

1658370298_two_atl_5d0(6).png.975eda82c53389010b268aaf2e91ea5c.png

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Sat Nov 28 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A non-tropical low pressure system located about 650 miles southeast 
of Bermuda is producing a few disorganized showers and thunderstorms 
to the north and east of the center. Environmental conditions are 
expected to be only marginally conducive for development during the 
next day or so as the low moves northeastward before it is absorbed 
by an approaching frontal system over the north-central Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

2. A non-tropical low pressure system over the far eastern Atlantic is 
expected to move southward about midway between Portugal and the 
Azores over the weekend. Environmental conditions are forecast to be 
marginally conducive for the low to acquire subtropical 
characteristics early next week while it meanders just to the north 
of the Canary Islands. Additional information on this system can be 
found in high seas forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
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