Carlos Campos Posted September 16, 2020 at 11:52 PM Share Posted September 16, 2020 at 11:52 PM Europeu colocando >800 mm nos próximos dias no Golfo do México, decorrentes da intensificação de uma baixa pressão nakela área à partir deste domingo (20/9)👇 (GFS, coloca apenas ~50 mm na região no mesmo período). 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elieder Posted September 17, 2020 at 02:38 AM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 02:38 AM (edited) 2 horas atrás, Carlos Campos disse: Europeu colocando >800 mm nos próximos dias no Golfo do México, decorrentes da intensificação de uma baixa pressão nakela área à partir deste domingo (20/9)👇 (GFS, coloca apenas ~50 mm na região no mesmo período). As águas do Golfo estão fervendo em 30°, é uma usina de tempestades. Pelo monitoramento de um possivel furacão fazendo landfall na Lousiania, acho que o povo de lá mal deu tempo de se reestruturar após o Laura... Edited September 17, 2020 at 02:39 AM by Elieder 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Samihr Hermes Posted September 17, 2020 at 03:29 AM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 03:29 AM (edited) Edited September 17, 2020 at 03:30 AM by Samihr Hermes 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Samihr Hermes Posted September 17, 2020 at 03:43 AM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 03:43 AM 4 hours ago, mario junior said: Pode mandar um pequeno video pra nós?? Vou upar, embora não esteja mais chovendo agora. Passei o dia meio ocupado e acabei esquecendo do óbvio: que faço parte de um fórum de meteorologia e que podia fazer um vídeo pra compartilhar. Foi mal hehehe. A estação da Florida State University marcou 68.58 mm de chuva hoje (https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLTALLA77) Ao nordeste da cidade tem uma estação marcando 192 mm. (https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLTALLA392) No vídeo tem alguns galhos que caíram das árvores que é a única interessante pra mostrar agora. Em geral aqui em Tallahassee foi bem tranquilo. Não tivemos queda de energia, apenas chuva, chuva, chuva, chuva até não aguentar. Alguém sabe qual site do governo que eu posso arranjar dados oficiais? video.mp4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted September 17, 2020 at 12:18 PM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 12:18 PM Teddy com centro fechado. Um voo de reconhecimento vai investigar o sistema hoje. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted September 17, 2020 at 12:19 PM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 12:19 PM Teddy 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted September 17, 2020 at 12:20 PM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 12:20 PM TD22 pode se formar ainda hoje no Golfo. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted September 17, 2020 at 12:34 PM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 12:34 PM 99L também pode se formar em breve e afetar Portugal. Já parece ser um pequeno ciclone subtropical. Foto: @bestweather_pt 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted September 17, 2020 at 03:01 PM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 03:01 PM Teddy chega na categoria 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mario junior Posted September 17, 2020 at 03:04 PM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 03:04 PM 1 minuto atrás, Felipe F disse: Teddy chega na categoria 3 Me lembra um pouquinho o Formato do Irma de 2017 em Teddy. Mas pra ficar bem parecido mesmo precisa ir para os confins da categoria 4 ou categoria 5 inicial. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mario junior Posted September 17, 2020 at 03:52 PM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 03:52 PM Ventos 125 kt são encontrados em Teddy. Já dá pra ir pra categoria 4. 153200 1942N 05306W 7510 02247 9715 +147 //// 132122 125 088 020 01 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mario junior Posted September 17, 2020 at 03:56 PM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 03:56 PM Pressão de 950 mbar foi observado. 152400 1918N 05326W 7517 02097 9502 +235 +133 293020 025 029 002 00 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted September 17, 2020 at 04:12 PM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 04:12 PM Campo de ventos com força de furacão bem amplo. NHC estimou certo os valores de intensidade de Teddy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted September 17, 2020 at 06:47 PM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 06:47 PM Teddy segue na categoria 3. Teddy parece uma versão de Igor, 2010. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted September 17, 2020 at 06:48 PM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 06:48 PM Voo de reconhecimento indo investigar 90L. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted September 17, 2020 at 06:56 PM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 06:56 PM Voo de reconhecimento segue indicando intensificação, com pressão em queda e aumento da velocidade dos ventos. Deve ser atualizado para Categoria 4 hoje ainda. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mario junior Posted September 17, 2020 at 08:24 PM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 08:24 PM Sobre Sally: "The storm made landfall on Gulf Shores, Alabama on the 16 year anniversary of Hurricane Ivan making landfall on the same location in 2004." 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rodolfo Alves Posted September 17, 2020 at 09:02 PM Author Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 09:02 PM BULLETIN Hurricane Teddy Advisory Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202020 500 PM AST Thu Sep 17 2020 ...TEDDY STRENGTHENS TO A POWERFUL CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE... ...LARGE SWELLS FORECAST TO SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF THE WESTERN ATLANTIC INTO THIS WEEKEND INCREASING RIP CURRENT THREAT... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.1N 54.1W ABOUT 575 MI...925 KM NE OF THE LESSER ANTILLES ABOUT 1070 MI...1725 KM SE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHES 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted September 17, 2020 at 09:09 PM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 09:09 PM São grandes as chances dos nomes "Isaias" e "Sally" serem retirados. "Laura" é certo que será. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mario junior Posted September 17, 2020 at 09:11 PM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 09:11 PM 8 minutos atrás, Rodolfo Alves disse: BULLETIN Hurricane Teddy Advisory Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202020 500 PM AST Thu Sep 17 2020 ...TEDDY STRENGTHENS TO A POWERFUL CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE... ...LARGE SWELLS FORECAST TO SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF THE WESTERN ATLANTIC INTO THIS WEEKEND INCREASING RIP CURRENT THREAT... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.1N 54.1W ABOUT 575 MI...925 KM NE OF THE LESSER ANTILLES ABOUT 1070 MI...1725 KM SE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHES É descartavel uma breve ida de Teddy para a categoria 5? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edsr97 Posted September 17, 2020 at 09:44 PM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 09:44 PM 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mario junior Posted September 17, 2020 at 09:52 PM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 09:52 PM Teddy decidiu que será primo do Furacão Lorenzo de 2019. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted September 17, 2020 at 10:41 PM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 10:41 PM Novo voo de reconhecimento indo para Teddy. Será que teremos um categoria 5? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mario junior Posted September 17, 2020 at 10:43 PM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 10:43 PM 1 minuto atrás, Felipe F disse: Novo voo de reconhecimento indo para Teddy. Será que teremos um categoria 5? Sim sim sim sim sim rs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted September 17, 2020 at 10:55 PM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 10:55 PM 1 hora atrás, Tavares disse: São grandes as chances dos nomes "Isaias" e "Sally" serem retirados. "Laura" é certo que será. Caso Isaias não seja retirado, vai ser o ciclone mais caro dos EUA que teve o nome mantido. Teddy também pode entrar na lista, caso siga realmente para Nova Inglaterra e Províncias Atlânticas do Canadá (exemplo de Igor, 2010). Acredito que algum nome grego vai causar problemas em Outubro. Pena que nem Sally e Paulette foram grandes furacões. Ficaria mais bonito 20/8/4, hehehe 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted September 17, 2020 at 10:56 PM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 10:56 PM Citar NHC will initiate advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty Two, located in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, at 600 PM CDT (2300 UTC). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mario junior Posted September 17, 2020 at 11:01 PM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 11:01 PM DT 22 se forma. 000 WTNT32 KNHC 172259 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Twenty-Two Special Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL222020 600 PM CDT Thu Sep 17 2020 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO... ...EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY OVER THE WESTERN GULF INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK... SUMMARY OF 600 PM CDT...2300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.9N 94.3W ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM E OF TAMPICO MEXICO ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM SE OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mario junior Posted September 17, 2020 at 11:03 PM Share Posted September 17, 2020 at 11:03 PM Agora, mario junior disse: DT 22 se forma. 000 WTNT32 KNHC 172259 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Twenty-Two Special Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL222020 600 PM CDT Thu Sep 17 2020 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO... ...EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY OVER THE WESTERN GULF INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK... SUMMARY OF 600 PM CDT...2300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.9N 94.3W ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM E OF TAMPICO MEXICO ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM SE OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES Próximo nome é Wilfred, o último nome do alfabeto latino de 2020. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted September 18, 2020 at 01:11 AM Share Posted September 18, 2020 at 01:11 AM 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted September 18, 2020 at 01:25 AM Share Posted September 18, 2020 at 01:25 AM Sally 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted September 18, 2020 at 01:40 AM Share Posted September 18, 2020 at 01:40 AM NHC emitiu o último aviso para Sally e Vicky. Nos fóruns americanos já existe uma discussão sobre uma atualização de Sally, com alguns apostando em um aumento de intensidade na reanálise e elevação para categoria 3. Vamos aguardar 2021, hehehe Mais um vídeo de Sally 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted September 18, 2020 at 01:54 AM Share Posted September 18, 2020 at 01:54 AM Teddy segue na categoria 4 e estabilizou nas últimas horas. O sistema deve acumular um bom ACE para "fraca" temporada de 2020, onde a maioria dos ciclones só ganha força faltando pouco tempo para landfall. 99L segue com baixas chances de formação segundo NHC. O sistema pode trazer chuvas e ventos fortes (80 km/h) para Portugal na sexta. Suspeito que pode ser nomeado nas reanálises como subtropical (ficaria sem um nome). Modelos seguem bem indecisos em relação a intensidade e trajetória da DT22. Única certeza no momento é que pode chover muito no litoral do Texas e da Louisiana. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted September 18, 2020 at 02:32 AM Share Posted September 18, 2020 at 02:32 AM 17 minutos atrás, Felipe F disse: Única certeza no momento é que pode chover muito no litoral do Texas e da Louisiana. Vai consumir um bocado do calor nessa parte do Golfo do México. Tava vendo aqui e com exceção de Nana que tinha as dimensões de um mesociclone, o Caribe não teve nenhum furacão importante, e pouquíssimas tempestades tropicais, olha até agora somente Nana teve sua gênese no Caribe. E já vamos pro alfabeto grego. SST 30ºC por lá. Uma bomba-relógio, será? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mario junior Posted September 18, 2020 at 02:46 AM Share Posted September 18, 2020 at 02:46 AM 13 minutos atrás, Tavares disse: Uma bomba-relógio, será? Tudo é possivel meu kerido 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlos Campos Posted September 18, 2020 at 11:20 AM Share Posted September 18, 2020 at 11:20 AM Linda imagem nesta manhã ❤️ 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted September 18, 2020 at 02:27 PM Share Posted September 18, 2020 at 02:27 PM Gente! Isso é um satélite! Se der ruim não dá pra ir lá arrumar. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mario junior Posted September 18, 2020 at 02:37 PM Share Posted September 18, 2020 at 02:37 PM Wilfred se forma próximo de Cabo Verde. Está esgotado o alfabeto latino de 2020. Alpha deve sair ainda hoje por 22L. 000 WTNT33 KNHC 181433 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Wilfred Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL232020 1100 AM AST Fri Sep 18 2020 ...WILFRED FORMS IN THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC... ...GET OUT THE GREEK ALPHABET FOR THE REST OF 2020... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.9N 32.4W ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM WSW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Wilfred was located near latitude 11.9 North, longitude 32.4 West. Wilfred is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h) and this general motion is expected for the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible today, and weakening should start this weekend and continue into next week. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted September 18, 2020 at 02:39 PM Share Posted September 18, 2020 at 02:39 PM Wilfred é apenas o segundo nome com a letra W usado até hoje na bacia do Atlântico 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted September 18, 2020 at 03:04 PM Share Posted September 18, 2020 at 03:04 PM O pequeno sistema na costa de Portugal não foi nomeado (vai ficar para reanálise). Chuvas e ventos fortes provocaram inundações, quedas de árvores e alguns danos em estruturas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted September 18, 2020 at 03:09 PM Share Posted September 18, 2020 at 03:09 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted September 18, 2020 at 03:17 PM Share Posted September 18, 2020 at 03:17 PM Pelo menos um tornado também afetou Portugal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted September 18, 2020 at 04:27 PM Share Posted September 18, 2020 at 04:27 PM Sistema em Portugal foi nomeado! Citar NHC will initiate advisories on Subtropical Storm Alpha, located near the coast of Portugal, at 1230 PM AST (1630 UTC). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mario junior Posted September 18, 2020 at 04:29 PM Share Posted September 18, 2020 at 04:29 PM 1 minuto atrás, Felipe F disse: Sistema em Portugal foi nomeado! 22L será Beta! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted September 18, 2020 at 04:31 PM Share Posted September 18, 2020 at 04:31 PM Radar de Portugal 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted September 18, 2020 at 04:32 PM Share Posted September 18, 2020 at 04:32 PM Webcam em Portugal: https://beachcam.meo.pt/livecams/lagide-e-baía/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted September 18, 2020 at 04:33 PM Share Posted September 18, 2020 at 04:33 PM Começou #ελληνικόαλφάβητο 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted September 18, 2020 at 04:34 PM Share Posted September 18, 2020 at 04:34 PM ...SUBTROPICAL STORM ALPHA FORMS NEAR THE COAST OF PORTUGAL... ...EXPECTED TO BE SHORT-LIVED BUT BRING WINDS AND RAIN TO PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL... SUMMARY OF 430 PM GMT...1630 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...39.9N 9.3W ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM N OF LISBON PORTUGAL MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted September 18, 2020 at 04:44 PM Share Posted September 18, 2020 at 04:44 PM Nem cabe no quadro 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mario junior Posted September 18, 2020 at 04:53 PM Share Posted September 18, 2020 at 04:53 PM Vou citar aqui, ja que ninguem citou: If Alpha makes landfall in Portugal as a subtropical cyclone, it will be the first cyclone to do so in history. Se Alpha aterrissar em Portugal como um ciclone subtropical, será o primeiro ciclone a fazê-lo na história. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rodolfo Alves Posted September 18, 2020 at 04:59 PM Author Share Posted September 18, 2020 at 04:59 PM BELAS IMAGENS DE RADAR E SATÉLITE DA TEMPESTADE SUBTROPICAL ALPHA. ALPHA IRÁ FAZER LANDFALL NAS PRÓXIMAS HORAS SOBRE PORTUGAL. ISSO TORNARÁ O PRIMEIRO SISTEMA NA FASE SUBTROPICAL/TROPICAL A FAZER LANDFALL COMO JÁ DITO. DISCUSSÃO DO NHC MENCIONA QUE ALPHA GANHOU FORÇA NAS ÚLTIMAS HORAS, COM MAIORES EVIDÊNCIAS DE SER UMA TEMPESTADE SUBTROPICAL A PARTIR DO SCARTOMETRO E DE IMAGENS DE RADAR DE PORTUGAL. Subtropical Storm Alpha Special Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL242020 430 PM GMT Fri Sep 18 2020 The small low pressure area that has been rotating around a larger extratropical low in the far northeastern Atlantic has become better organized this morning. Moderate-to-deep convection has persisted near the center since last night, scatterometer data shows a closed 40-kt low, and radar images from Portugal show a definite organized convective pattern. While the system is still in the cyclonic envelope of the large extratropical low and likely neutral- or cold-core, it has developed enough tropical characteristics to be considered a subtropical storm. The initial intensity is set to 45 kt in accordance with the scatterometer data, assuming some undersampling for this small system. Little change in strength is forecast until landfall in Portugal during the next couple of hours. Global models show the small low moving northeastward at about 15 kt for the next 24 hours before dissipating over northern Spain or the Bay of Biscay. The track and intensity forecasts are consistent with the consensus guidance. Additional information on the hazards from this system can be found in products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at www.ipma.pt. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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