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Brasil Abaixo de Zero
Miguel Russe

Tufões no Pacífico Oeste - 2020

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Quase 500 mil sem energia neste momento no Japão.

Dezenas de feridos sendo reportados.

 

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Tufão está próximo de fazer landfall na Coreia do Sul.

Rajadas de vento de até 150 km/h são possíveis na região.

 

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TV ESTATAL DA CORÉIA DO NORTE MAIS UMA VEZ ABRIU A TRANSMISSÃO EM HORÁRIO EXCEPCIONAL, POR VOLTA DAS 6:30, PARA ACOMPANHAR O AVANÇO DE HAISHEN.

 

BOLETINS A CADA MEIA-HORA INTERCALADOS NA PROGRAMAÇÃO REGULAR ESTÃO SENDO EXIBIDOS, DIRETO DO "INMET" NORTE-COREANO E REPÓRTERS RELATANDO A SITUAÇÃO EM PONTOS DO PAÍS.

 

001.thumb.jpg.5f412e6d66700cb91777620f36cbd0b4.jpg001.png.15c2c78198f7d8a70148cf2b98f3f643.png

 

 

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TUFÃO HAISHEN JÁ SE ENCONTRA NA RÚSSIA. SEU ÚLTIMO AVISO FOI EXPEDIDO PELO JTWC.

 

88342630.thumb.gif.07db4ba6b0078eebc8c7a9bda447380a.gif

 

 

ACUMULADOS DE CHUVA FORAM ELEVADOS NA CORÉIA DO SUL:

 

141mm BUKGANGNEUNG

140mm TAEGWALLYYONG

132mm ULSAN

125mm SOSAN

123mm MASAN

117mm PUSAN

 

002.png.b5ffa230684cff43c76c9564642691c4.png

 

NA CAPITAL SEUL, O ACUMULADO FICOU EM APENAS 28mm.

 

RAJADAS DE VENTO DE 120km/h FORAM REGISTRADAS EM BUSAN (VALORES EM mph NO MAPA ABAIXO)

 

003.png.9e930c28bae66a780bb55c0cbc803806.png

 

 

 

NA VIZINHA CORÉIA DO NORTE TAMBÉM REGISTROU ALTOS VOLUMES DE CHUVA EM 24 HORAS:

 

207mm CHANGJON

153mm WOSAN

121mm CHONGJIN

 

 

001.png.ce9393e11ab7857899d088b5c88ea754.png

 

A ESTAÇÃO CONVENCIONAL DE CHANGJON REPORTOU VENTOS CONSTANTES DE 65km/h. 

 

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EM UM DOS VÁRIOS PLANTÕES DA TV NORTE COREANA DURANTE A PROGRAMAÇÃO REGULAR DESSA SEGUNDA-FEIRA, MOSTROU-SE ALGUMAS CIDADES SIGNIFICANTEMENTE INUNDADAS E UMA REPÓRTER ENFRENTANDO FORTES VENTOS NA COSTA. NO VÍDEO É POSSÍVEL COLOCAR LEGENDAS EM INGLÊS OU PORTUGUÊS PARA A TRADUÇÃO.

 

UMA CURIOSIDADE QUE FICOU EVIDENTE É QUE NA CORÉIA DO NORTE NÃO SE USA A NOMEAÇÃO INTERNACIONAL PARA OS TUFÕES. EM NENHUMA VEZ HOUVE A MENÇÃO DE "HAISHEN" OU "MAYSAK", COM A TELEVISÃO LOCAL E O PRÓPRIO CENTRO METEOROLÓGICO DO PAÍS CHAMANDO APENAS PELO NÚMERO, NO CASO DESTE O "TUFÃO Nº 10".

 

 

 

 

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Haishen se tornou uma baixa extratropical.

Creio que nas reanalises possa ser atualizado para a categoria 5.

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TEMPESTADE TROPICAL NOUL SE FORMOU A OESTE DAS FILIPINAS.

 

PODE VIRAR TUFÃO CATEGORIA 1 ANTES DE FAZER LANDFALL NO VIETNÃ NA SEXTA-FEIRA

 

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STS Dolphin se formou perto do JPN.

Teve pico de 65 mph pela JTWC e 70 mph pela JMA. 

Já é extratropical.

STS Dolphin:

89px-Dolphin_2020-09-22_0454Z.jpg.1811755b9ac1e891f490371843bc62f4.jpg

Edited by mario junior
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97W próximo de ser 14W.

Esperado para ser um forte tufão.

79627a9f-924a-49a2-9039-9074b0c45677.thumb.jpeg.72c531d3ab38b268069c0114b055a1e2.jpeg

TCFA JTWCabpwsair.thumb.jpg.e666ee78ceae58409f2cc114cfee299a.jpg

WTPN21 PGTW 260900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 97W)//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
210 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 18.3N 159.7E TO 25.1N 155.8E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 260600Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 19.2N 159.7E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 18.9N 160.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 159.7E, APPROXIMATELY 
391 NM WEST OF WAKE ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
DEPICTS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH PERSISTENT 
CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SEMICIRCLES. A 260742Z SSMIS 
91GHZ IMAGE REVEALS FORMATIVE BANDING IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT 
WRAPPING INTO THE EASTERN QUADRANT OF THE LLC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS 
REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH A POINT SOURCE OVER 
THE SYSTEM CENTER ENHANCING UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE OFFSET BY AN 
UPPER LEVEL LOW HINDERING CONVECTION OVER THE NORTHWESTERN 
SEMICIRCLE. INVEST 97W IS EXPERIENCING LOW (<15KTS) VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR AND WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE 
IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 97W WILL TRACK GENERALLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD 
WHILE CONTINUING TO SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE; HOWEVER, THE UPPER LEVEL LOW 
MAY HINDER CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 
270900Z.//
NNNN

JMA forecast

a-00.png.42bd2b0f58096f461338ae1340a8f20c.png

TD
Issued at 13:05 UTC, 26 September 2020

line_menu.gif
<Analysis at 12 UTC, 26 September>
Scale -
Intensity -
  TD
Center position N18°50' (18.8°)
  E160°00' (160.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NNW Slow
Central pressure 1006 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 15 m/s (30 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 23 m/s (45 kt)
line_menu.gif
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 27 September>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N23°05' (23.1°)
  E156°55' (156.9°)
Direction and speed of movement NNW 25 km/h (13 kt)
Central pressure 990 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 23 m/s (45 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (65 kt)
Radius of probability circle 150 km (80 NM)
line_menu.gif
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 28 September>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N27°20' (27.3°)
  E152°40' (152.7°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 25 km/h (14 kt)
Central pressure 975 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 30 m/s (60 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45 m/s (85 kt)
Radius of probability circle 165 km (90 NM)
Storm warning area E 280 km (150 NM)
  W 220 km (120 NM)
line_menu.gif
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 29 September>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N33°50' (33.8°)
  E153°20' (153.3°)
Direction and speed of movement N 30 km/h (16 kt)
Central pressure 950 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 40 m/s (80 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60 m/s (115 kt)
Radius of probability circle 260 km (140 NM)
Storm warning area E 460 km (250 NM)
  W 360 km (195 NM)
line_menu.gif
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 30 September>
Intensity -
  LOW
Center position of probability circle N41°50' (41.8°)
  E161°50' (161.8°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 50 km/h (26 kt)
Central pressure 986 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 25 m/s (50 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (70 kt)
Radius of probability circle 370 km (200 NM)
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Kujira se intensificou a tufão de categoria 1 mínimo. Rajadas próximas de um categoria 2.

Deve se tornar extra-tropical ainda hoje.

15W_291200sair.thumb.jpg.6c4d9f2980e5c526894e64c47f2aea72.jpg

WTPN31 PGTW 291500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 15W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 15W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 012    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   291200Z --- NEAR 36.5N 156.4E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   
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