Felipe F Posted January 5, 2020 at 08:28 PM Share Posted January 5, 2020 at 08:28 PM Tópico para o acompanhamento anual do tempo severo nos Estados Unidos em 2020. A média anual no período de 1991-2010 e de 1253 tornados. http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/climate-information/extreme-events/us-tornado-climatology 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 5, 2020 at 08:40 PM Author Share Posted January 5, 2020 at 08:40 PM (edited) O primeiro evento de tempo severo de 2020 deve acontecer no final de semana. O SPC já começou a mencionar sobre o tempo severo nos dias 10 e 11. Somente outras três datas ( 23 Jan 2013, 18 Jan 2010 e 1 Jan 2008) o SPC indicou em seus mapas a possibilidade de tempo severo 7 dias antes. Importante dizer, que anteriormente existia apenas o valor de 30%. Evento de 2010 foi o único que não foi um grande tornado outbreak. Edited January 5, 2020 at 08:41 PM by Felipe F 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 6, 2020 at 05:31 PM Author Share Posted January 6, 2020 at 05:31 PM Modelos seguem aumentando a chance de um grande surto entre 10 e 12 de Janeiro no sul dos EUA. Todas as ameaças são possíveis. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted January 7, 2020 at 03:02 PM Share Posted January 7, 2020 at 03:02 PM Dois dias com 30% de probabilidade de tempo severo após 72h Não lembro de ter visto nem no auge da última temporada. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 8, 2020 at 06:45 PM Author Share Posted January 8, 2020 at 06:45 PM Todos os modelos seguem com cenários agressivos para o final de semana. EURO e UKMET indicam algo mais celular e NAM e GFS indicam uma forte linha de instabilidade. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 9, 2020 at 02:31 PM Author Share Posted January 9, 2020 at 02:31 PM (edited) Sexta - 10 de Janeiro Severe thunderstorms are expected by midday Friday into early Saturday morning from eastern Oklahoma and Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley. Damaging wind gusts, tornadoes and isolated large hail are all possible, especially across parts of eastern Texas into Louisiana Friday afternoon into the overnight hours. ...MAXIMUM RISK BY HAZARD... Tornado: 10% SIG - Enhanced Wind: 30% SIG - Enhanced Hail: 30% SIG - Enhanced Edited January 9, 2020 at 02:42 PM by Felipe F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 9, 2020 at 02:33 PM Author Share Posted January 9, 2020 at 02:33 PM Sábado - 11 de janeiro Severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds and tornadoes are expected across parts of the southeastern U.S. on Saturday. It remains uncertain how pristine the warm sector will remain ahead of the QLCS and this will impact how much, if any, pre-frontal semi-discrete convection develops. That being said, a conditional threat for supercells and accompanying tornadoes (some possibly strong) will exist across the Enhanced risk area, in addition to the QLCS-related threats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 9, 2020 at 05:37 PM Author Share Posted January 9, 2020 at 05:37 PM DIA 2 FOI ATUALIZADO PARA RISCO MODERADO! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted January 10, 2020 at 01:45 AM Share Posted January 10, 2020 at 01:45 AM O modelo NAM antecipa o desenvolvimento de células isoladas na triplice divisa entre TX, OK e AR antes da configuração da LI, um potencial tornádico mais significativo ocorreria aí. O HRRR tava mostrando a LI se formando mais cedo. Acompanhemos. Vendaval não tem graça, eu gosto só dos tornados. rs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 10, 2020 at 11:05 AM Author Share Posted January 10, 2020 at 11:05 AM Risco moderado em vigor devido a ventos fortes. Potencial tornádico em 10%. O risco moderado deve ser expandido em breve. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted January 10, 2020 at 01:07 PM Share Posted January 10, 2020 at 01:07 PM (edited) Eita! Risco de tornados foi bem ampliado An outbreak of severe thunderstorms is possible later today through tonight, with the most dangerous portion being tonight into early Saturday morning with a potential derecho and embedded strong tornado risk. Primary changes this outlook are to expand the Moderate Risk east across the Lower MS Valley and increase tornado probabilities for the evening/overnight period. Edited January 10, 2020 at 01:12 PM by Tavares 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 10, 2020 at 05:01 PM Author Share Posted January 10, 2020 at 05:01 PM Primeiro tornado watch e warning do dia. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 10, 2020 at 07:20 PM Author Share Posted January 10, 2020 at 07:20 PM Segundo tornado watch do dia emitido. Duas células sendo observadas no momento em OK. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 10, 2020 at 08:29 PM Author Share Posted January 10, 2020 at 08:29 PM Até o momento somente reports de granizo. No momento 5 tornados warnings em vigor. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 10, 2020 at 10:17 PM Author Share Posted January 10, 2020 at 10:17 PM Dois breves tornados foram reportados no estado de Oklahoma e Missouri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 10, 2020 at 11:55 PM Author Share Posted January 10, 2020 at 11:55 PM Região Metropolitana de Dallas pode ter problemas em breve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 10, 2020 at 11:56 PM Author Share Posted January 10, 2020 at 11:56 PM Tornado no Missouri mais cedo: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 11, 2020 at 12:03 AM Author Share Posted January 11, 2020 at 12:03 AM Tornado confirmado ao sul de Dallas, TX. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted January 11, 2020 at 12:07 AM Share Posted January 11, 2020 at 12:07 AM 7 minutos atrás, Felipe F disse: Tornado no Missouri mais cedo: Fazendo uma pesquisa rápida aqui a temperatura em Fair Play - MO não chegou nem a 17 graus e com ar descendente da tempestade devia estar bem abaixo disso durante o tornado. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 11, 2020 at 05:29 PM Author Share Posted January 11, 2020 at 05:29 PM Quase 300 reports de ventos fortes desde ontem. O número de tornados ainda não chegou a 10. No momento um tornado está em andamento no estado do Alabama. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 11, 2020 at 05:43 PM Author Share Posted January 11, 2020 at 05:43 PM Danos e lesões relatados ao norte de Carrollton, AL. Transmissão do Alabama: https://www.wbrc.com/live/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 11, 2020 at 05:48 PM Author Share Posted January 11, 2020 at 05:48 PM Tornado warning para Tuscaloosa, AL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 11, 2020 at 05:52 PM Author Share Posted January 11, 2020 at 05:52 PM Risco de tornados fortes no Alabama nas próximas horas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 11, 2020 at 05:57 PM Author Share Posted January 11, 2020 at 05:57 PM Duas células apresentando forte rotação no Alabama. Uma perto de Barry, AL e outra em Tuscaloosa, AL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 11, 2020 at 06:01 PM Author Share Posted January 11, 2020 at 06:01 PM Duas mortes confirmadas em Carrollton, Al. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 11, 2020 at 06:06 PM Author Share Posted January 11, 2020 at 06:06 PM Tornado Warning para Tuscaloosa foi cancelado. Rajadas de quase 100 km/h foram registradas na cidade. Apenas uma área sendo observada no momento. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 11, 2020 at 06:16 PM Author Share Posted January 11, 2020 at 06:16 PM Duas áreas apresentando rotação ao norte de Tuscaloosa, AL. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 11, 2020 at 06:17 PM Author Share Posted January 11, 2020 at 06:17 PM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 11, 2020 at 06:53 PM Author Share Posted January 11, 2020 at 06:53 PM O número de tornados atualmente está perto dos 10, porém esse número deve ser bem superior, pois a medida que a linha de instabilidade está avançando ela está causando uma série de breves tornados, alguns sendo considerados fortes e para diferenciar os danos de ventos fortes e tornados é necessário uma análise técnica. Até o momento foram confirmadas 7 mortes devido ao tempo severo: 3 Alabama, 3 no Louisiana e 1 no Texas. Danos na Louisiana 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 11, 2020 at 06:53 PM Author Share Posted January 11, 2020 at 06:53 PM Danos no Missouri 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 11, 2020 at 06:56 PM Author Share Posted January 11, 2020 at 06:56 PM Danos no Mississípi 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 11, 2020 at 06:57 PM Author Share Posted January 11, 2020 at 06:57 PM Louisiana 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 11, 2020 at 11:29 PM Author Share Posted January 11, 2020 at 11:29 PM Local onde houve 3 mortes no Alabama. 1 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 11, 2020 at 11:41 PM Author Share Posted January 11, 2020 at 11:41 PM Número de mortos chega a 10: 3 na Louisiana; 3 no Alabama; 3 no Texas e 1 em Oklahoma. Tornados sendo confirmados na Geórgia neste momento. Danos na Geórgia 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlos Campos Posted January 11, 2020 at 11:50 PM Share Posted January 11, 2020 at 11:50 PM 19 minutos atrás, Felipe F disse: Local onde houve 3 mortes no Alabama. Imagens impressionantes! Vale a pena assistir... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted January 12, 2020 at 04:01 AM Share Posted January 12, 2020 at 04:01 AM Resumão 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 12, 2020 at 10:13 PM Author Share Posted January 12, 2020 at 10:13 PM Quase 700 reports de ventos fortes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 14, 2020 at 11:39 PM Author Share Posted January 14, 2020 at 11:39 PM (edited) O número de tornados confirmados já chega a 63 em 12 estados. No total tivemos 20 EF0, 31 EF1 e 12 EF2. Tivemos ainda 6 mortes causadas por tornados e 5 pelos ventos fortes. O evento dos dias 10/11 de Janeiro é considerado um dos mais significativos já registrados em um mês de Janeiro. Edited January 14, 2020 at 11:40 PM by Felipe F 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted January 24, 2020 at 03:25 PM Author Share Posted January 24, 2020 at 03:25 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted February 5, 2020 at 05:03 PM Share Posted February 5, 2020 at 05:03 PM Tá chegando aquela época gostosa do ano. rs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted February 28, 2020 at 02:04 AM Author Share Posted February 28, 2020 at 02:04 AM Janeiro 2020 O surto registrado entre 10-11 de Janeiro foi um dos mais significativos para o mês nos EUA. Tivemos 79 tornados, sendo 25 EF0, 41 EF1 e 13 EF2. Houve 12 mortes em decorrência do tempo severo em Janeiro. No total o mês fechou com 87 tornados, acima da média que é de 35. Fevereiro 2020 O surto registrado entre 5 e 7 de Fevereiro causou pelo menos 37 tornados e uma fatalidade. Os tornados mais fortes foram classificados como EF2. Vale destacar que um dos seis tornados EF2 registrados, percorreu quase 100 km nas áreas rurais do Mississippi. Pelo menos 5 tornados foram registrados na área de Washington, DC, sendo o maior surto de tornado registrado no inverno nesta região. O mês deve fechar com 42 tornados, acima da média de que é de 29. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted February 28, 2020 at 02:13 AM Author Share Posted February 28, 2020 at 02:13 AM Março está chegando e a primeira ameaça de tempo severo deve ser registrada entre terça e quarta. Importante ressaltar que teremos a Super Tuesday acontecendo nos dias com chance de tempo severo. Essa data tem um histórico de surtos de tornados, sendo mais significativo o de 2008. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted March 3, 2020 at 01:39 PM Share Posted March 3, 2020 at 01:39 PM Um violento tornado passou ao norte do centro de Nashville, TN durante a madrugada. Pelo menos 9 pessoas morreram. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted March 3, 2020 at 04:06 PM Share Posted March 3, 2020 at 04:06 PM Número de mortos no tornado do Tennessee na última madrugada subiu pra 19. Exatamente um ano atrás, no dia 03 de Março de 2019, um tornado matou 23 pessoas no Alabama. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 3, 2020 at 04:09 PM Author Share Posted March 3, 2020 at 04:09 PM 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 3, 2020 at 04:14 PM Author Share Posted March 3, 2020 at 04:14 PM Radar 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 3, 2020 at 04:15 PM Author Share Posted March 3, 2020 at 04:15 PM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 3, 2020 at 04:17 PM Author Share Posted March 3, 2020 at 04:17 PM Tornados reportados ontem: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 3, 2020 at 06:05 PM Author Share Posted March 3, 2020 at 06:05 PM Pesquisas já encontraram danos no limite para a classificação EF4. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted March 3, 2020 at 06:08 PM Author Share Posted March 3, 2020 at 06:08 PM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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