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Brasil Abaixo de Zero
Felipe F

Tempo Severo EUA/2019

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Atualização do mês de Abril:

Entre 13 e 15 de Abril tivemos 70 tornados confirmados: 23 EF0, 30 EF1, 15 EF2 e 2 EF3

Entre 17 e 19 de Abril tivemos 96 tornados confirmados: 30 EF0, 51 EF1, 11 EF2 e 1 EF3 (3 não foram classificados)

Entre 24/25 tivemos mais 17 tornados confirmados: 2 EF0, 9 EF1, 4 EF2 e 1 EF3.(1 não foi classificado)

No dia 30 tivemos 44 tornados reportados, até o momento 12 foram confirmados, sendo o mais forte um EF3.

Abril está com 215 tornados confirmados até o momento, acima da média que é de 155. 

 

Ontem tivemos 6 tornados reportados entre TX/OK.

A previsão de tempo severo mais significativo entre 6 e 11 de Maio.

 

 

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Quase 10 tornados já foram reportados hoje nos estados do AR, TN e LA.

Danos foram reportados em alguma cidades.

Não se reporta feridos.

 

 

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Efeméride do dia:

03 de Maio de 1999 

Esse vídeo de toda a cobertura ao vivo do tornado de Moore é uma pérola

 

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Caçadores de tornados em festa!

 

D5ubHNwXkAAFPkW.jpg

 

D5ubHbkWsAEpx6c.jpg

 

D5ubHljW4AEBfun.jpg

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Hoje com risco leve de tornados 

NZmq0F6.gif

Tornado confirmado a sul de Lubbock, TX

 

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Teria causado um estrago se atingisse alguma cidade:

 

Edited by Tavares
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Maio já tem quase 50 tornados reportados.

Hoje tivemos até o momento 8 tornados reportados nos estados do TX, KS e NE.

Danos foram reportados em algumas cidades.

 

 

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Ainda bem ativa a circulação da célula a sul de Lubbock. Valores bem altos de velocidade e ela se desloca bem lentamente.

FpzCQzD.jpg

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Radar segue mostrando forte rotação ao sul de Tahoka, TX

 

D512QbgX4AA1-cr.jpg

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Confirmado tornado a leste de O ' Donnell, TX

 

D519fceW0AEn9gA.jpg

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20 minutos atrás, Felipe F disse:

Confirmado tornado a leste de O ' Donnell, TX

 

 

D52AwOuWsAEA4Tc.jpg

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Tornado confirmado em Hutchinson, KS.

 

D52CTmqWsAEl_m2.jpg

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Wichita vai precisar manter um olho nesta célula.

 

D52OboQXsAAFMPH.jpg

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SPC expandiu a área com propabilidade de 5% de tornado. 

 

To the north, storms over central and now south-central KS continue
   to develop toward the Hutchinson/Wichita area. Very large hail is
   likely, along with a brief tornado. 

 

d3adx0Q.gif

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22 tornados foram reportados ontem.

Tempo severo deve seguir nos próximos dias.

 

D55RltUW4AAy09E.png

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Risco Moderado pra áreas do Texas e de Oklahoma hoje

GW4b6e4.png

 

SPC fez um grande upgrade na probabilidade de tornados na 12Z

gG0T8QD.gif

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Tornado Watch bem severo pro Saliente do Texas e de Oklahoma

ShwBop7.png

Edited by Tavares
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Risco moderado já foi retirado.

Apenas 8 tornados reportados até o momento.

Um tornado está em andamento perto de Erick, OK.

 

D6AfaIpXkAAx68G.jpg

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18 tornados foram reportados ontem.

Houve alguns danos, mas nada mais grave foi reportado até o momento.

 

D6BVVt7WkAA4Qzi.jpg

 

 

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Uma linha de instabilidade se formou no Texas e avança para a Louisiana no momento.

Dois tornado foram reportados no Texas.

Alguns TORNADO WARNING estão em vigor neste momento.

 

 

D6ElDOZWsAA5MzI.jpg

 

 

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SPC alertando que existe um risco de tornado forte na Louisiana.

 

D6En-IiWwAIdoXO.jpg

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Caos em Houston, TX no momento.

Chuva intensa e granizo grande sobre a cidade.

 

 

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Tempo severo volta na sexta (17).

Reed para variar está empolgado.

 

 

 

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Maio deve seguir o padrão de Março/Abril e terminar acima da média baseado nos dados atuais.

2019 está sendo um ano bem ativo, porém como em 2018 com poucos tornados sendo fortes/violentos.

 

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Modelos seguem agressivos para final de semana e a próxima.

Sexta (17) e Sábado (18).

 

D6c6VQxUEAAa3X6.jpg

 

D6c6VQuUEAASnp9.jpg

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SPC menciona até o dia 9.

 

...DISCUSSION...
   On Thursday/D4, an upper ridge will be in place across the central
   U.S. with a large upper trough across the West. Meanwhile, northwest
   flow will exist across the Great Lakes with a low amplitude wave
   moving quickly from northern MN toward PA by Friday/D5 morning. A
   cold front will accompany this wave, with lift focused from MN into
   IA, northern IL/IN and OH. Substantial westerly winds at 850 mb will
   transport theta-e across IA and IL toward the front, with a corridor
   of strong to possibly severe thunderstorms from IA across southern
   WI and northern IL during the late afternoon and evening. Damaging
   winds would be most likely. A this time predictability is too low to
   denote an MCS corridor, but a Slight Risk is possible in later
   updates.

   Also on Thursday/D4, moisture and instability will spread west
   across NE and southern SD, as the leading height falls with the
   western trough approach the High Plains. Isolated severe hail and
   wind is possible over parts of eastern WY, western NE, and southwest
   SD during the late afternoon and evening.

   On Friday/D5, strong southwest flow aloft will spread into the
   Plains, with the strongest winds from NM into west TX. Low pressure
   is forecast across northeast CO into NE during the day, with a
   dryline extending southward into west TX. Widespread mid 60s F
   dewpoints will be in place ahead of the dryline, and northward to
   the warm front from eastern SD into IA. Moderate to strong
   instability will develop over the warm sector, with wind profiles
   supporting supercells producing very large hail and a few tornadoes.
   Clusters of storms, or an MCS, is also possible overnight mainly
   over northwest TX into western OK.

   For Saturday/D6, significant differences exist regarding the
   shortwave trough, with the new ECMWF showing a compact,
   negative-tilt shortwave from northwest TX across OK and into KS.
   Meanwhile, the GFS based members show a less amplified solution,
   with the main threat area farther east. Either solution will support
   severe weather, whether more of a squall line producing damaging
   winds, or a mixed mode threat including supercells and tornadoes. As
   such, have introduced 15% severe probs for Saturday, mainly across
   OK and TX.

   For Sunday/D7, a moist, unstable air mass is most likely to exist
   over eastern TX and into AR and possibly MO. Much of this area will
   be behind the departing upper trough, thus predictability is quite
   low. 

   On Monday/D8, models show a broad area of cyclonic flow aloft again
   across the West, with some manner of trough amplification possible
   into the Plains. Predictability is low, however, substantial
   low-level moisture will be available for any wave that emerges into
   the Plains, including into Tuesday/D9, with bouts of severe weather
   possible from the Plains to the Midwest.

   ..Jewell.. 05/13/2019

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Semana será animada!!

Essa é a primeira vez que o SPC emite uma previsão com chance de tempo severo para todos os dias após dia 3. 

 

 

D6hs5U6XkAAb0n3.jpg

Edited by Felipe F
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Granizo e ventos fortes sendo reportados hoje no estado de Illinois.

 

 

Amanhã o tempo severo deve afetar em especial o estado de Nebraska.

Uma atualização para risco moderado já está sendo mencionado.

 

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Tornado confirmado em Fort Stockton, Texas.

 

D6zPZEqWwAUbki-.jpg

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Breve tornado reportado em Atwood, Kansas.

Nuvem funil reportado perto de Big Springs, NE.

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18 minutos atrás, Felipe F disse:

Mais fotos

D6zgfoYW0AA1ewc.jpg

Essa foto é extremamente nebrásquica

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...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN DAWSON COUNTY...


AT 704 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS
LOCATED NEAR MOOREFIELD, OR 12 MILES EAST OF CURTIS, MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 25 MPH.

THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

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