Tempo Severo EUA/2019

[Felipe F 5904]

22 tornados foram reportados ontem.

Tempo severo deve seguir nos próximos dias.

 

[Tavares 1988]

Risco Moderado pra áreas do Texas e de Oklahoma hoje

 

SPC fez um grande upgrade na probabilidade de tornados na 12Z

[Tavares 1988]

Tornado Watch bem severo pro Saliente do Texas e de Oklahoma

Edited May 7, 2019 by Tavares

[Felipe F 5904]

Risco moderado já foi retirado.

Apenas 8 tornados reportados até o momento.

Um tornado está em andamento perto de Erick, OK.

 

[Felipe F 5904]

18 tornados foram reportados ontem.

Houve alguns danos, mas nada mais grave foi reportado até o momento.

 

 

 

[Felipe F 5904]

Uma linha de instabilidade se formou no Texas e avança para a Louisiana no momento.

Dois tornado foram reportados no Texas.

Alguns TORNADO WARNING estão em vigor neste momento.

 

 

 

 

[Felipe F 5904]

SPC alertando que existe um risco de tornado forte na Louisiana.

 

[Felipe F 5904]

Caos em Houston, TX no momento.

Chuva intensa e granizo grande sobre a cidade.

 

 

[Felipe F 5904]

Tempo severo volta na sexta (17).

Reed para variar está empolgado.

 

 

 

[Felipe F 5904]

 

Maio deve seguir o padrão de Março/Abril e terminar acima da média baseado nos dados atuais.

2019 está sendo um ano bem ativo, porém como em 2018 com poucos tornados sendo fortes/violentos.

 

[Felipe F 5904]

Modelos seguem agressivos para final de semana e a próxima.

Sexta (17) e Sábado (18).

 

 

[Felipe F 5904]

SPC menciona até o dia 9.

 

...DISCUSSION...
   On Thursday/D4, an upper ridge will be in place across the central
   U.S. with a large upper trough across the West. Meanwhile, northwest
   flow will exist across the Great Lakes with a low amplitude wave
   moving quickly from northern MN toward PA by Friday/D5 morning. A
   cold front will accompany this wave, with lift focused from MN into
   IA, northern IL/IN and OH. Substantial westerly winds at 850 mb will
   transport theta-e across IA and IL toward the front, with a corridor
   of strong to possibly severe thunderstorms from IA across southern
   WI and northern IL during the late afternoon and evening. Damaging
   winds would be most likely. A this time predictability is too low to
   denote an MCS corridor, but a Slight Risk is possible in later
   updates.

   Also on Thursday/D4, moisture and instability will spread west
   across NE and southern SD, as the leading height falls with the
   western trough approach the High Plains. Isolated severe hail and
   wind is possible over parts of eastern WY, western NE, and southwest
   SD during the late afternoon and evening.

   On Friday/D5, strong southwest flow aloft will spread into the
   Plains, with the strongest winds from NM into west TX. Low pressure
   is forecast across northeast CO into NE during the day, with a
   dryline extending southward into west TX. Widespread mid 60s F
   dewpoints will be in place ahead of the dryline, and northward to
   the warm front from eastern SD into IA. Moderate to strong
   instability will develop over the warm sector, with wind profiles
   supporting supercells producing very large hail and a few tornadoes.
   Clusters of storms, or an MCS, is also possible overnight mainly
   over northwest TX into western OK.

   For Saturday/D6, significant differences exist regarding the
   shortwave trough, with the new ECMWF showing a compact,
   negative-tilt shortwave from northwest TX across OK and into KS.
   Meanwhile, the GFS based members show a less amplified solution,
   with the main threat area farther east. Either solution will support
   severe weather, whether more of a squall line producing damaging
   winds, or a mixed mode threat including supercells and tornadoes. As
   such, have introduced 15% severe probs for Saturday, mainly across
   OK and TX.

   For Sunday/D7, a moist, unstable air mass is most likely to exist
   over eastern TX and into AR and possibly MO. Much of this area will
   be behind the departing upper trough, thus predictability is quite
   low. 

   On Monday/D8, models show a broad area of cyclonic flow aloft again
   across the West, with some manner of trough amplification possible
   into the Plains. Predictability is low, however, substantial
   low-level moisture will be available for any wave that emerges into
   the Plains, including into Tuesday/D9, with bouts of severe weather
   possible from the Plains to the Midwest.

   ..Jewell.. 05/13/2019

[Felipe F 5904]

Semana será animada!!

Essa é a primeira vez que o SPC emite uma previsão com chance de tempo severo para todos os dias após dia 3. 

 

 

Edited May 14, 2019 by Felipe F

[Felipe F 5904]

Granizo e ventos fortes sendo reportados hoje no estado de Illinois.

 

 

Amanhã o tempo severo deve afetar em especial o estado de Nebraska.

Uma atualização para risco moderado já está sendo mencionado.

 

[Tavares 1988]

O prognóstico do Reed Timmer pra hoje é uma piada pronta

 

https://www.facebook.com/reedtimmerAccu/photos/a.169775739168/10157332002709169/

 

Edited May 17, 2019 by Tavares

[Felipe F 5904]

Tornado confirmado em Fort Stockton, Texas.

 

[Felipe F 5904]

Célula está isolada

 

 

[Felipe F 5904]

Breve tornado reportado em Atwood, Kansas.

Nuvem funil reportado perto de Big Springs, NE.

[Felipe F 5904]

Tornado em McCook NE!

 

[Felipe F 5904]

Mais fotos

 

 

 

 

 

[Felipe F 5904]

Houve alguns danos.

 

 

[Tavares 1988]

18 minutos atrás, Felipe F disse:

Mais fotos

Essa foto é extremamente nebrásquica

[Felipe F 5904]

Novo tornado perto de Farnam NE

 

[Felipe F 5904]

[Tavares 1988]

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN DAWSON COUNTY...

AT 704 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS
LOCATED NEAR MOOREFIELD, OR 12 MILES EAST OF CURTIS, MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 25 MPH.

THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!