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Felipe F

Monitoramento e Previsão - Demais continentes - 2015

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De longe, é prá lá de interessante o que vai acontecer na Nova Zelandia nos próximos dias. Muita chuva e muita neve.

 

SEVERE WEATHER WARNING.

 

ISSUED BY MetService AT 8:56 pm 17-Jun-2015

Major winter storm over the South Island through to Friday

A deepening low over the Tasman Sea approaches the South Island during Thursday and crosses over the far south on Friday. This low and its associated fronts are expected to bring a period of stormy weather to parts of the South Island.

 

Initially, strong northwest winds affect eastern areas of the South Island, and the winds in Canterbury and Southland are likely to reach severe gale in some places through to Thursday morning, with gusts of 130 km/h near the Canterbury Foothills. Winds of this strength could cause damage to trees and unsecured structures, and make driving hazardous.

 

Heavy rain in Fiordland spreads into Westland early Thursday morning, then continues into Friday morning. During this time 300 to 500mm of rain could fall about the ranges, although this will be heavy snow at high altitudes. About the Westland coast 140 to 180mm of rain is likely. This is a significant amount of rain, even for these areas, and is likely to lead to surface flooding, slips, and rapidly rising streams and rivers.

 

Cold air moving onto the south of the South Island is expected to combine with the rain in Canterbury, Otago and Southland to bring significant amounts of heavy snow to low levels. Snow is likely to near sea-level in the south and about 200 metres in North Canterbury from late Thursday morning until early Friday. Parts of Otago and South Canterbury are likely to be hardest hit, with accumulations reaching 20 to 30cm at 200 metres and a metre or more above about 700 metres. This amount of snow is likely to cause major disruptions to transport through these areas, cause distress to people or stock in exposed outdoor places, and could damage trees and bring down powerlines.

 

HEAVY RAIN WARNING

AREA/S AFFECTED

Fiordland

FORECAST

Heavy rain is expected to continue into Friday morning. In the 33 hours from 9pm Wednesday until 6am Friday, 200 to 250mm of rain is likely north of Doubtful Sound, with 300mm possible in a few places. Further south, 100 to 150mm of rain is expected during the same period. Initially, the snow level will be around 900 metres, but about the Lakes the snow level is expected to lower to around 200 metres during Thursday.

 

FREEZING LEVEL: 1300 metres, lowering to 700 metres in the east during Thursday.

 

AREA/S AFFECTED

Westland

FORECAST

Heavy rain should develop early Thursday morning, then continue into Friday morning. In the 30 hours from 3am Thursday until 9am Friday, 300 to 400mm of rain is likely about the ranges, with 500mm possible in some places. During the same period 140 to 180mm of rain is expected nearer the coast. Above about 1400 metres this rain will fall as heavy snow.

 

FREEZING LEVEL: About 1800 metres

 

HEAVY SNOW WARNING

AREA/S AFFECTED

Southland

FORECAST

Cold rain is expected to turn to snow above 200 metres Thursday morning. Between 6am and 3pm Thursday, 10 to 15cm of snow may accumulate at 400 metres with greater amounts at higher altitudes.

 

Further snow is possible on Friday.

 

AREA/S AFFECTED

Otago

FORECAST

Cold rain is expected to turn to snow about inland areas of Otago late Thursday morning. Between 9am Thursday and 6am Friday, 15 to 25cm of snow could accumulate at 200 metres. During the same period 70 to 100cm of snow is possible at 700 metres. About Dunedin and near the coast snow is likely to lower to around 100 metres Thursday evening and between 9pm Thursday and 6am Friday 5 to 10cm of snow could accumulate at 200 metres.

 

AREA/S AFFECTED

Canterbury south of the Rangitata River

FORECAST

Snow is expected to lower to near sea-level Thursday afternoon. Between 10am Thursday and 5am Friday, 20 to 30cm of snow could accumulate at 200 metres. During the same period 40 to 60cm may accumulate at 500 metres with more than a metre possible at higher altitudes.

 

AREA/S AFFECTED

Inland Canterbury between the Rangitata and Ashley Rivers

FORECAST

Snow is expected to lower to around 200 metres Thursday afternoon. Between 11am Thursday and 4am Friday, 15 to 20cm of snow could accumulate at 300 metres. During the same period 40 to 60cm may accumulate at 500 metres with more than a metre possible at higher altitudes.

 

STRONG WIND WARNING

AREA/S AFFECTED

Southland

FORECAST

Severe gale northwesterlies gusting 120 km/h are likely in exposed places through to 6am Thursday.

 

AREA/S AFFECTED

Canterbury, especially close to the Foothills

FORECAST

Severe gale northwesterlies gusting 130 km/h are likely in exposed places through to midday Thursday.

 

NEXT SEVERE WEATHER WARNING WILL BE ISSUED AT OR BEFORE 9:00 am Thursday 18-Jun-2015

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E essa onda de calor no Paquistão hein, mais de 1.200 mortos com temperaturas passando de 47 graus em algumas localidades, piorado devido ao Ramadã nesse mês.

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Modelos estão prevendo forte Onda de Calor em partes da China para a próxima semana!

 

GFS indicando máximas em torno de 40ºC em Pequim. :heat: :heat: :heat:

 

WO4Yiq5.png

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E continua o calor calcinante no Paquistão, para amnhã são previstas máximas acima de 40º em quase metade do país:

 

pakhistan%2029%2006%2015.jpg_zpsd0fqwihv.gif

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Esses extremos de calor no Hemisfério Norte durante o Verão são causados pela continentalidade, ocasionando outros extremos. E no Hemisfério Sul os extremos nas temperaturas são diminuídos pela grande quantidade de mar.

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Ontem, a temperatura máxima registrada pelo aeroporto de Dubai foi de 45°C. :heat:

 

OMDB 131200Z 07013KT 6000 NSC [highlight=yellow]45[/highlight]/15 Q0996 BECMG 35014KT

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Enquanto isso na Austrália...

 

Adelaide just endured the coldest first week of August in 72 years. Thankfully a warmer weekend is on the way

@Ben_Domensino

 

04 de Agosto

Brrr Sydney we've just had our coldest morning in 5 years- on 5C!

@SkyNewsAust

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Estava vendo o inverno da Austrália... que beleza!! Melbourne fechou com média de 8 em julho; Canberra teve média de 5° (!!!!!) em junho e julho, e já nevou três vezes na cidade! A última neve veio agora a pouco, neste dia 12, quando chovia com 2° e apareceu como chuva/neve.

 

Na capital da Austrália fez até -7° neste inverno!!

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Meu Deus! O que causou essa explosão? Bela onda de choque!

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Olhem isso!! :shok: :shok: :shok:

 

 

A gravação aos 20 seg é assustadora!!!! :shok: :shok: :shok: :shok: :shok: :shok: :shok: :shok: :shok: :shok: :shok: :shok: :shok: :shok: :shok: :shok:

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Isto está com jeito de ser algo que, possivelmente, matou muuuiiito mais gente do que estão admitindo... :russian:

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:shok: :shok: :shok: :shok: :shok: :shok: :shok: , que loucura, foi alguma fabrica de produto químico ???

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Isto está com jeito de ser algo que, possivelmente, matou muuuiiito mais gente do que estão admitindo... :russian:

Também tô achando! Um condomínio com mais de duas dezenas de prédios foi engolido pela bola de fogo.

Tenjin é conhecido pelo terremoto de 1976, que os chineses dizem ter matado apenas 250.000 pessoas, enquanto ocidentais estimam mais de 800.000 mortos. O terremoto mais letal de tempos recentes.

 

Ficou meio offtopic, é que eu não sabia onde postar

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Tive a impressão que a coisa toda aconteceu em área portuária, não residencial.

 

Nuevo video: Apocalípticas imágenes de las devastadoras explosiones en China a vista de dron

 

http://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/182981-imagenes-devastadoras-explosiones-china

 

Mas parece mesmo que áreas residenciais foram atingidas:

 

China blasts: Tianjin port city rocked by explosions

 

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-33896292

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Está um forno mesmo. Levantei os dados pelo Wunderground, por lá o útlimo dia com uma máxima abaixo de 30º foi 29 de abril, ou seja, já a quase 4 meses direto com muito calor. O engraçado foi que tiveram mínima absoluta este ano de apenas 1C em Janeiro.

 

Bagdá também há dias vem registrando máximas na casa dos 46º

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A título de curiosidade, médias de inverno em Bagdá:

 

Dez - 5,1 / 17,2

Jan - 3,8 / 15,5

Fev - 5,5 / 18,5

 

Frio para nossos padrões...

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Bagdá tem algumas noites bem frias no inverno, podendo mesmo negativar. As máximas nos dias gelados fica na casa dos 10°/12°. E a última neve (agora não sei se a única na história ou a primeira em muitas décadas) foi em 2011.

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Há lugares onde o calor do verão é compensado pelo frio do inverno; como a Austrália que teve os meses de Janeiro e Fevereiro tórrido, com ondas de calor mais intensas que as ocorridas no.nosso país, porém, desde Abril, vem sendo atingidas por fortes massas polares.

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Bagdá tem algumas noites bem frias no inverno, podendo mesmo negativar. As máximas nos dias gelados fica na casa dos 10°/12°. E a última neve (agora não sei se a única na história ou a primeira em muitas décadas) foi em 2011.

 

 

Dez - 5,1 / 17,2

Jan - 3,8 / 15,5

Fev - 5,5 / 18,5

 

"noites bem frias no inverno, podendo mesmo negativar" COM ESTAS MÉDIAS NÃO É PODENDO, SIM PODENDO TER 2 DÍGITOS DE MÍNIMA NEGATIVA...

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