Tavares Posted November 9, 2015 at 03:37 PM Share Posted November 9, 2015 at 03:37 PM SPC divulgou o perímetro de risco para o 3º dia, quarta feira, que afetará principalmente o Estado do Missouri e partes de Iowa e Arkansas A análise dos meteorologistas do SPC são bem pessoais (humanas) visto que os índices dos modelos que eles consultam não mostram todo o risco exposto no boletim abaixo. [spoil]DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0232 AM CST MON NOV 09 2015 VALID 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS AN ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF MO...IL...SW IND...WRN KY...NW TN AND NRN AR... ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS THE GREAT PLAINS...MS VALLEY...OH VALLEY AND TN VALLEY OUTSIDE THE ENHANCED RISK AREA... ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE GREAT PLAINS...MS VALLEY...OH VALLEY AND TN VALLEY OUTSIDE THE SLIGHT RISK AREA... ...SUMMARY... SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE GREAT PLAINS WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD INCREASE BY AFTERNOON AS THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND DAMAGE AND TORNADOES MOVE QUICKLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REACH THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS BY EVENING. ...SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS/MS VALLEY/OH AND TN VALLEYS... A VIGOROUS UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE QUICKLY EWD ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY. STRONG DIFFLUENCE...STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND IMPRESSIVE SHEAR PROFILES ASSOCIATED WITH THE EXIT REGION OF A 95 TO 110 KT MID-LEVEL JET WILL MAKE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM SE NEB SWD ACROSS ERN KS AND POSSIBLY INTO THE ARKLATEX. LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THIS CORRIDOR. AS THE UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM MOVES QUICKLY EWD DURING THE DAY...A COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE RAPIDLY EWD WITH THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY ALONG THE FRONT FROM SRN IA SWD ACROSS WRN MO INTO WRN AR. ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO REMAIN WEAK...THE FAST EWD MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM ALONG WITH VERY STRONG LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AND IMPRESSIVE WIND FIELDS SHOULD RESULT IN AN ENHANCED WIND DAMAGE THREAT WITH CELLS AND BOWING LINE-SEGMENTS THAT DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT. THE CURRENT THINKING IS THAT A NARROW LINE OF STORMS WILL RAPIDLY ORGANIZE AND MOVE QUICKLY EWD INTO THE MS VALLEY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WHERE A SUBSTANTIAL WIND DAMAGE THREAT IS EXPECTED. TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER ROTATING CELLS EMBEDDED IN THE LINE. THE TORNADO THREAT IS MORE CONDITIONAL DUE TO THE MARGINAL QUALITY OF THE MOIST SECTOR. AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH BECOMES NEGATIVELY-TILTED AND THE MID-LEVEL JET MOVES INTO THE MID MS VALLEY WEDNESDAY EVENING...A WIND DAMAGE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE EWD INTO THE OH AND TN VALLEYS. AN ENHANCED WIND DAMAGE THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE AS FAR EAST AS SW IND...WRN KY AND NW TN WEDNESDAY EVENING WITH THE THREAT BECOMING ISOLATED DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. A FEW TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE DURING THE EVENING. ..BROYLES.. 11/09/2015[/spoil] No modelo de simulação de reflectividade, uma estreita e rápida linha de instabilidade deve avançar pelo vale do Mississippi entre o fim da tarde e a noite de quarta feira. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted November 10, 2015 at 11:10 PM Share Posted November 10, 2015 at 11:10 PM Os prognósticos estão posicionando esse ciclone mais ao norte e o risco principal deve ser ventos fortes em Ohio, Missouri e Illinois. Será muito parecido com esse evento na mesma época do ano, mas em 1998. [bbvideo=560,315] [/bbvideo] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 11, 2015 at 04:41 PM Author Share Posted November 11, 2015 at 04:41 PM ENH RISK em vigor hoje para áreas de Illinois, Missouri e Iowa, devido principalmente a ameça de ventos fortes. Tornados e granizo também podem ser registrados. Alerta de tornado deve ser emitido em breve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 11, 2015 at 06:24 PM Author Share Posted November 11, 2015 at 06:24 PM Alerta de tornado em vigor para áreas de IA, KS, MO e NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 11, 2015 at 06:27 PM Author Share Posted November 11, 2015 at 06:27 PM Primeiro aviso de tornado em vigor para o Condado de Otoe, NE. Ao vivo: http://www.wowt.com/livestream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 11, 2015 at 06:32 PM Author Share Posted November 11, 2015 at 06:32 PM Otoe, NE http://severestudios.com/player-full/kelley.williamson/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 11, 2015 at 06:50 PM Author Share Posted November 11, 2015 at 06:50 PM Aviso cancelado. Houve apenas o registro de queda de granizo. Modelos mostram a possibilidade de tempo severo para terça e quarta da próxima semana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 11, 2015 at 08:07 PM Author Share Posted November 11, 2015 at 08:07 PM Segundo aviso de tornado do dia em vigor para o Condado de Pottawattamie. Nuvem funil vista próxima de Harlan, IA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 11, 2015 at 08:11 PM Author Share Posted November 11, 2015 at 08:11 PM Tornado confirmado entre Harlan, IA e Avoca, IA. Há relatos não confirmados de alguns danos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 11, 2015 at 08:35 PM Author Share Posted November 11, 2015 at 08:35 PM Segundo tornado do dia reportado próximo de Corning, Iowa. Danos por ventos fortes e granizo estão sendo relatados em áreas de Nebraska, Missouri e Iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 11, 2015 at 08:37 PM Author Share Posted November 11, 2015 at 08:37 PM Yorktown, IA, ao sul de Corning, IA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 11, 2015 at 09:14 PM Author Share Posted November 11, 2015 at 09:14 PM Um tornado foi reportado próximo de Benton, IA cerca de 30 minutos atrás. Um tornado foi reportado próximo de Winterset, IA, ao sul de Des Moines, IA. Uma área apresentando forte rotação, atravessou a fronteira entre Missouri e Iowa e se aproxima de Promise City, IA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 11, 2015 at 09:30 PM Author Share Posted November 11, 2015 at 09:30 PM Segundo alerta de tornado em vigor para Iowa, Illinois e Missouri. Até o momento entre 2 e 4 tornados reportados, além de dezenas de reports de ventos fortes e granizo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 11, 2015 at 09:33 PM Author Share Posted November 11, 2015 at 09:33 PM Rotação ainda é muito forte. Até o momento sem confirmação de um tornado na área. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 11, 2015 at 09:43 PM Author Share Posted November 11, 2015 at 09:43 PM Tornado registrado mais cedo próximo de Avoca, Iowa. Theresa Beach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 11, 2015 at 09:56 PM Author Share Posted November 11, 2015 at 09:56 PM Tornado foi reportado próximo do aeroporto de Des Moines, IA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 11, 2015 at 11:19 PM Author Share Posted November 11, 2015 at 11:19 PM A área que apresentava forte rotação que atravessou a fronteira entre Missouri e Iowa, gerou um tornado, que causou danos em algumas cidades. Um tornado atingiu Knoxville, IA sem aviso, causando alguns danos. Fotos: @NimbusStorms, @PhotoJ_BD e @kiicfm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 11, 2015 at 11:24 PM Author Share Posted November 11, 2015 at 11:24 PM Ao menos 5 tornados foram reportados, porém é provável que esse número seja um pouco maior. A maioria dos reports como esperado, foi de ventos fortes. Tempestades devem seguir ao longo da noite e madrugada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 12, 2015 at 12:32 AM Author Share Posted November 12, 2015 at 12:32 AM [bbvideo=560,315]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9dHQOTFz4gI[/bbvideo] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 16, 2015 at 05:07 AM Author Share Posted November 16, 2015 at 05:07 AM No dia 11 foram confirmados 15 tornados. Tempo severo retorna hoje ao sul dos EUA. O SPC já menciona a possibilidade de uma atualização para risco moderado devido a tornados e ventos fortes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted November 16, 2015 at 06:31 PM Share Posted November 16, 2015 at 06:31 PM Panorama pra hoje aumentou a área de risco "enhanced" que não tem tradução pro português. Ô beleza! Panorama geral Risco de tornados Risco de granizo Risco de ventos fortes Essa linha de tempestades seguirá até o Golfo do México e deverá causar uma nova onda de tempo severo amanhã a tarde/noite na divisa do Texas com a Louisiana, quando encontrar com o aquecimento do dia: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted November 16, 2015 at 10:11 PM Share Posted November 16, 2015 at 10:11 PM Por enquanto só há núcleos de tempestades no Estado do Kansas, com um alerta de tonado e cinco pra trovoadas ativos. Tornado Watch pra em vigos pra partes do Texas, Oklahoma e Kansas n'este momento, com possível incremento de atividade tornádica nas próximas horas. [spoil] MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1950 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0351 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015 AREAS AFFECTED...WEST TX...TX PANHANDLE...OK PANHANDLE...SW KS AND FAR SE CO CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 537... VALID 162151Z - 162345Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 537 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...THE SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS IN AND NEAR TORNADO WATCH 537. DISCUSSION...THE LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A VERY WELL-ORGANIZED UPPER-LEVEL LOW IN THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. AN IMPRESSIVE 90 TO 110 KT MID-LEVEL JET IS ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE TROUGH WITH THE EXIT REGION OF THE JET SPREADING OVER THE SRN AND CNTRL HIGH PLAINS ATTM. THIS ALONG WITH STRONG LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM IS AIDING A STEADY EXPANSION OF CONVECTIVE COVERAGE ACROSS THE TORNADO WATCH. AS THIS OCCURS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE...INSTABILITY AND LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL INCREASE. THIS WILL MAINTAIN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS. SFC DEWPOINTS ARE CURRENTLY IN THE LOWER 60S F ACROSS THE LOW ROLLING PLAINS OF NW TX. THIS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE EXPAND NWD INTO THE ERN TX PANHANDLE...WRN OK AND SW KS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. AS DISCRETE CELLS MOVE EWD INTO THIS MOIST AIRMASS AND AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS DUE TO THE APPROACH OF THE UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM...THE TORNADO THREAT WILL LIKELY INCREASE. A POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO. LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE WILL BE LIKELY WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. ..BROYLES/MEAD.. 11/16/2015[/spoil] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andoni Posted November 16, 2015 at 10:12 PM Share Posted November 16, 2015 at 10:12 PM A área de 10% de probabilidade de tornados foi expandida, e adicionada uma área com risco de "tornados significativos" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted November 16, 2015 at 10:25 PM Share Posted November 16, 2015 at 10:25 PM (edited) Primeiras células a surgir no Texas começam a apresentar rotação. Edited November 16, 2015 at 10:47 PM by Guest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted November 16, 2015 at 10:30 PM Share Posted November 16, 2015 at 10:30 PM Kress, TX David Drummond/TVN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted November 16, 2015 at 10:46 PM Share Posted November 16, 2015 at 10:46 PM Rotação aumentando n'essa célula que se dirige pra Garden City, Kansas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted November 16, 2015 at 11:03 PM Share Posted November 16, 2015 at 11:03 PM Assinatura de tornado próxim0 de Garden City, Kansas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andoni Posted November 16, 2015 at 11:13 PM Share Posted November 16, 2015 at 11:13 PM A supercélula a sudeste de Amarillo, ganhou um tornado warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted November 16, 2015 at 11:31 PM Share Posted November 16, 2015 at 11:31 PM A supercélula a sudeste de Amarillo, ganhou um tornado warning A estrutura d'essa supercélula. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted November 16, 2015 at 11:40 PM Share Posted November 16, 2015 at 11:40 PM Tornado confirmado em Grainfield, KS. Se dirigindo pra Hoxie, KS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted November 16, 2015 at 11:45 PM Share Posted November 16, 2015 at 11:45 PM Garden City, Kansas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted November 16, 2015 at 11:55 PM Share Posted November 16, 2015 at 11:55 PM Liberal, Sul do Kansas Rotação muito forte em Hoxie, centro do Kansas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted November 16, 2015 at 11:59 PM Share Posted November 16, 2015 at 11:59 PM Violento tornado se fromou em Liberal City e está seguindo pra Dodge City, maior cidade da região. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andoni Posted November 17, 2015 at 12:05 AM Share Posted November 17, 2015 at 12:05 AM Violento tornado se fromou em Liberal City e está seguindo pra Dodge City, maior cidade da região. Rotação intensa!! THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN GRAY COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS... NORTHEASTERN SEWARD COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS... NORTHERN MEADE COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS... * UNTIL 630 PM CST * AT 551 PM CST...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED VERY NEAR KISMET...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andoni Posted November 17, 2015 at 12:08 AM Share Posted November 17, 2015 at 12:08 AM Tornado no chão!! Ao vivo em: https://tvnweather.com/live/chasers/847783627 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted November 17, 2015 at 12:10 AM Share Posted November 17, 2015 at 12:10 AM Rotação intensa!! Violentíssimo tornado. Um dos mais intensos do ano. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted November 17, 2015 at 12:26 AM Share Posted November 17, 2015 at 12:26 AM É um tornado de longa duração e de grande dimenção. Pode atingir a região de Dodge City. Tá noite já no Kansas. Dificilmente teremos mais imagens d'esse tornado que dura mais de meia hora já. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted November 17, 2015 at 12:43 AM Share Posted November 17, 2015 at 12:43 AM Um tornado outbreak em andamento. Pampa, Texas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted November 17, 2015 at 12:59 AM Share Posted November 17, 2015 at 12:59 AM Pampa foi atingida por um tornado com relatos de danos ao sul da cidade e vai ser atingida nos próximos minutos por outro tornado, na área mais central. Os dois estão no chão agora. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted November 17, 2015 at 01:03 AM Share Posted November 17, 2015 at 01:03 AM Pampa, Texas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted November 17, 2015 at 01:08 AM Share Posted November 17, 2015 at 01:08 AM Super-Célula passou por Ensign e está a meia hora de Dodge City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted November 17, 2015 at 01:35 AM Share Posted November 17, 2015 at 01:35 AM Segundo tornado que atingiu Pampa, TX, se dirigindo pra Miami, TX Muitas d'essas regiões vão ter neve amanhã. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tavares Posted November 17, 2015 at 02:07 AM Share Posted November 17, 2015 at 02:07 AM Ansioso por esse vídeo. Até o momento 27 tornados foram reportados. Pelo menos 4 grandes possíveis EF2+, O SPC dava 20% de chances de ocorrer 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 17, 2015 at 02:16 AM Author Share Posted November 17, 2015 at 02:16 AM Por causa do trabalho, perdi mais um tornado outbreak. :cray: Parabéns pela cobertura Lucas e Andoni. :friends: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 17, 2015 at 03:15 AM Author Share Posted November 17, 2015 at 03:15 AM Cerca 30 tornados reportados hoje, sendo que mais tornados podem ser registrados ao longo da madrugada. Possivelmente tivemos hoje o tornado mais forte registrado a oeste do meridiano 100 W em Novembro. Pampa, TX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 17, 2015 at 03:21 AM Author Share Posted November 17, 2015 at 03:21 AM Plains, KS Bryce Kintigh's Meade, KS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 17, 2015 at 03:27 AM Author Share Posted November 17, 2015 at 03:27 AM Miami, TX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 17, 2015 at 03:27 AM Author Share Posted November 17, 2015 at 03:27 AM Pampa, TX [bbvideo=560,315] [/bbvideo] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 17, 2015 at 03:44 AM Author Share Posted November 17, 2015 at 03:44 AM Forte tornado sendo reportado ao norte de May, OK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe F Posted November 17, 2015 at 05:44 PM Author Share Posted November 17, 2015 at 05:44 PM Tornado registrado ao norte de May, OK ontem, atravessou a fronteira e causou alguns danos em áreas rurais do Kansas. Ao todo foram reportados 38 tornados ontem. Hoje a maior ameaça será ventos fortes, porém tornados podem ser registrados principalmente em áreas do Arkansas, Louisiana e Mississippi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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