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Miguel Russe

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About Miguel Russe

  • Birthday 01/04/2002

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    Sud Mennucci SP, Pereira Barreto SP

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  1. The 2014 Atlantic hurricane season was a below average season in terms of named storms, and an average season in terms of both hurricane and major hurricanes.
  2. Movimento no Pacifico. Proximos Nomes no Pacifico Central: Hone e Iona Proximos Nomes no Pacifico Oeste: Fausto, Genevieve, Hernan e Iselle. ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Aug 12 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Elida, located about 500 miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. An elongated area of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California continues to produce a broad area of cloudiness and disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while the system moves slowly west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. 2. A large area of disturbed weather associated with a trough of low pressure extends from just west of the Gulf of Tehuantepec southwestward for several hundred miles. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days before the system reaches cooler waters over the weekend. This system is forecast to move west-northwestward at about 15 mph away from the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. 3. Another area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days over the far eastern portion of the basin to the south of the coast of Central America. Conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form this weekend or early next week while it moves generally west-northwestward just offshore the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. 4. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form near or west of the border between the National Hurricane Center and Central Pacific Hurricane Center areas of responsibility. Some subsequent gradual development of this system is possible later this week while the system moves slowly westward in the central Pacific basin. Future information on this system will be included in Tropical Weather Outlooks issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. The Central Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook is issued under WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP, and is available on the web at www.nhc.noaa.gov/?cpac
  3. TD 11L se forma no ATL. Deve virar TS Josephine e batero recorde de 10ª tempestade nomeada que mais cedo se formou na história do Atlantico, batendo o recorde da TS Jose em 2005. 000 WTNT31 KNHC 112032 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Eleven Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020 500 PM AST Tue Aug 11 2020 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.7N 40.0W ABOUT 1110 MI...1790 KM WSW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 1450 MI...2335 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eleven was located near latitude 11.7 North, longitude 40.0 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Wednesday. A west-northwestward motion at a similar forward speed is forecast to begin Wednesday night and continue through the rest of the week. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm by Wednesday night. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
  4. Elida fortalece a categoria 2. 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 111439 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Hurricane Elida Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092020 900 AM MDT Tue Aug 11 2020 ...ELIDA STRENGTHENS TO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE... ...EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN STARTING TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.3N 113.8W ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES
  5. Josephine? ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Aug 11 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. First-light visible satellite imagery shows that a better-defined center of circulation is forming in association with a low pressure system located about 900 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. In addition, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has become more organized since yesterday. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for additional development, and advisories could be initiated on a tropical depression as early as later today if these development trends continue. The disturbance is forecast to move west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the tropical Atlantic during the next few days, and conditions are expected to become less conducive for development by the end of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
  6. JMA segue ignorando 06W...... JTWC: WTPN32 PGTW 092100 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 06W (SIX) WARNING NR 002// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (SIX) WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z --- NEAR 26.1N 147.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 26.1N 147.0E --- JMA
  7. NHC sobe para 40% as chances de um sistema associado a uma onda trooical virar alguma coisa dentro de 48H. ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Aug 9 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continue to show signs of organization. However, satellite-derived wind data from earlier this morning indicated that the circulation remains elongated. Environmental conditions appear conducive enough to support additional development of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the next few days while it moves generally westward at 15 mph across the tropical Atlantic. Conditions are likely to become less conducive for development late this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
  8. NHC prevendo rapida intensificação para Elida FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/1500Z 16.4N 105.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 10/0000Z 17.3N 107.4W 55 KT 65 MPH 24H 10/1200Z 18.4N 109.9W 65 KT 75 MPH 36H 11/0000Z 19.3N 112.6W 80 KT 90 MPH 48H 11/1200Z 20.0N 115.2W 85 KT 100 MPH 60H 12/0000Z 20.7N 117.8W 80 KT 90 MPH 72H 12/1200Z 21.2N 120.1W 70 KT 80 MPH 96H 13/1200Z 21.5N 124.0W 50 KT 60 MPH 120H 14/1200Z 21.0N 127.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
  9. Agora sim que o Pacifico Oeste virou Pacifico Oeste
  10. Olhando esses modelos, ja e dado como ("meio-certo") a ida de 09E para o status de furacão.
  11. TD 09E se forma. O NHC prevê que se torne furacão Elida, sendo o segundo furacão da trmporada. 305 WTPZ34 KNHC 090236 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Nine-E Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092020 1000 PM CDT Sat Aug 08 2020 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS TO THE SOUTH OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.7N 102.6W ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine-E was located near latitude 14.7 North, longitude 102.6 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of the system will remain well offshore of the coast of Mexico for the next several days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and the cyclone is likely to become a tropical storm on Sunday and a hurricane by late Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.
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