Sinforiana Miguel Gonzale
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Everything posted by Sinforiana Miguel Gonzale
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Olha, eu juro que nunca vi uma invest se organizar tão rápido assim. Deixou Bertha (2020) kilometros atrás. Durmo com uma baixa bem desorganizada c/ 10% de chaces de se formar. Acordo com 02L. O que é isso, Deus!? ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022021 1500 UTC MON JUN 14 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.0N 73.7W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.0N 73.7W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 74.5W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.6N 70.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 60SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 39.8N 65.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 43.6N 59.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 60SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.0N 73.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Já que o NHC manteve a intensidade de Laura, estou até com medo do que deve vir no TCR do Eta. Segundo o TCR de Laura, foram reportados ventos de 148 kt e SMFR de 137 kt, que no caso seria reduzido pelos valores de ventos de superfície. Mas eu daria uns 135 - 140 kt pro Furacão Laura confortávelmente.
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Primeiras bandas da frente fria chegaram aqui. 21,2°C foi registrado por uma estação não oficial. Faz muitos dias que não chove aqui, pra ser mais direta, acho que faz um mês que não chove (pelo menos uma chuva moderada) aqui. Espero que chova bem.
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#COMEÇOU #ANDRES ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM PDT Fri May 7 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for an area of disturbed weather southwest of Mexico. 1. An area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern coast of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system is possible during the next few days, and a short-lived tropical depression or tropical storm could form over the weekend or early next week while moving west-northwestward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 8 PM PDT this evening, or earlier if conditions warrant. Forecaster Berg
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NHC citando a LPA: The are of low pressure may move from southwest of the Tehuantepec region westward south of the Revillagigedo Islands through early next week. NW swell in the 7-9 ft range will spread east- southeast just south of 30N through the end of the week. A larger northerly swell will propagate south of 30N Fri night through the weekend into early next week with seas building to 8-11 ft mainly north of 22N between 120W and 135W. Background northerly swell combined with the freshening trades will build seas to the 7-9 ft range across the west-central waters this weekend. $$ Lewitsky